<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[Stepan’s Publication]]></title><description><![CDATA[Personal reflections, bold opinions, and lessons from building businesses. From tech to mindset—unfiltered stories and ideas.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZNFS!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ff0da6585-254b-41b7-b86f-7f36c9384e92_1280x1280.png</url><title>Stepan’s Publication</title><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Tue, 07 Apr 2026 13:17:07 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://publication.aslanyan.net/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[saslanyan@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[saslanyan@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[saslanyan@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[saslanyan@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[Vibe Coding, AI, and the People Who Actually Care]]></title><description><![CDATA[My feed is full of the same jokes.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/vibe-coding-ai-and-the-people-who</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/vibe-coding-ai-and-the-people-who</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 19 Feb 2026 14:44:04 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JqFZ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95a79f1a-f11c-4919-80ef-867f57bbddd5_1507x967.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My feed is full of the same jokes.</p><p><em><strong>Vibe coding: 100,000x faster. Vibe debugging: 1x? 2x?</strong></em></p><p><em><strong>Shipped in 20 minutes. Still fixing it three weeks later.</strong></em></p><p>I have been in tech for more than 25 years. I never learned programming. I was always the annoying guy asking, &#8220;Why is this not shipped yet?&#8221;</p><p>For decades I worked with developers. Some were excellent. Some were careless. Many were somewhere in the middle. And yes, I often struggled with inattentiveness and low ownership. Specs half read. Edge cases ignored. Debugging treated like a chore.</p><p>Now the same crowd screams that vibe coding produces garbage code. That AI cannot debug. That junior developers will destroy everything. That the last 1 percent takes forever.</p><p>Let&#8217;s be honest.</p><p>The last 1 percent always took forever.</p><h3><strong>The Classic Complaints About Vibe Coding</strong></h3><p>Here is what people usually say:</p><p>&#8226; AI writes messy, unstructured code</p><p>&#8226; It does not understand architecture</p><p>&#8226; It hallucinates APIs</p><p>&#8226; It ignores edge cases</p><p>&#8226; Debugging takes longer than writing</p><p>&#8226; Tech debt will explode</p><p>&#8226; Security will suffer</p><p>This is true, AI models do hallucinate. AI speeds up output, it does not guarantee correctness.</p><p>But here is the part nobody wants to say out loud.</p><p>If a developer did not care about the product before AI, giving them AI will not suddenly make them care. It will just amplify whatever was already there.</p><p>Before, they at least had to read <strong>the first sentence</strong> of the specification. Now they can paste the whole thing into a prompt and move on. If they had weak understanding before, now the gap is hidden behind fast output.</p><p>That is not an AI problem. That is a human problem.</p><h3><strong>Debugging Was Always a Nightmare</strong></h3><p>People talk about vibe debugging like it is a new disaster.</p><p>Debugging has always been painful. Anyone who has shipped real software knows this. Some bugs are trivial. Some take hours. Some take days. Some only appear in production under weird conditions that nobody predicted.</p><p>Nothing new here.</p><p>When you deeply understand your product, debugging becomes directional. You know where to look. You know what part of the logic is sensitive. You can tell the AI, &#8220;Check the payment webhook handler,&#8221; instead of asking it to magically fix everything.</p><p>If you do not understand your product, debugging is chaos, with or without AI.</p><h3><strong>What Changed For Me</strong></h3><p>Here is what changed.</p><p>I started building software myself.</p><p>Not toy projects. Real software. With users. With payments. With data. With consequences.</p><p>Last year I built a full CRM for my service business in one weekend. Not 20 minutes. More than 20 hours. I started Friday evening. On Monday we were using it in real operations. We imported our existing spreadsheet data. We processed jobs. We tracked payments.</p><p>Was it perfect? No.</p><p>It took another three or four weekends to refine it. To fix edge cases. To polish flows. To make it stable. We have been using it for almost a year now.</p><p>At the same time, we were evaluating ready solutions. The best offer was three weeks to implement. No data import included. And the cost was not small. I am not even focusing on money here. Just time.</p><p>For me it was not 100,000x faster.</p><p>It was from zero to one.</p><p>Before AI, I would not even attempt this. I would need a developer. Budget. Sprint planning. Delays. Pain. Negotiation.</p><p>Now I can move.</p><h3><strong>From Founder to Builder</strong></h3><p>For 25 years I translated ideas into tickets. Now I translate ideas directly into working systems.</p><p>This does not mean I replaced engineers. Good engineers are still gold. Architecture matters. Security matters. Scalability matters.</p><p>But internal tools? Operational systems? MVPs? Automation?</p><p>The barrier collapsed.</p><p>AI can increase developer productivity by 20 to 45 percent in certain tasks like code generation and documentation. In my case, the impact was binary. It was not 30 percent faster. It was possible versus impossible.</p><p>That is the real shift.</p><h3><strong>Why Some Teams Get Worse With AI</strong></h3><p>If a team does not care about the product, AI will make it worse.</p><p>If developers treat tickets as chores, they will now generate more code with less understanding.</p><p>If nobody owns outcomes, only output, you will get faster garbage.</p><p>AI amplifies intent.</p><p>Strong ownership plus AI equals leverage.</p><p>Weak ownership plus AI equals noise.</p><p>That is why some people experience vibe coding as magic and others as disaster.</p><h3><strong>The 99 Percent Problem</strong></h3><p>The meme about being stuck at 99 percent is funny because it is true.</p><p>The last 1 percent is thinking. Not typing.</p><p>AI automates typing. It does not automate understanding your business model, your users, your edge cases, your constraints.</p><p>In my CRM weekend, the hard part was not generating forms or database tables. The hard part was defining exactly how jobs flow through the system. What happens if a client cancels. How and when statuses change.</p><p>That is product thinking.</p><p>AI did not replace that. It executed it.</p><h3><strong>Vibe coding and &#8220;Real Code&#8221;</strong></h3><p>People say, &#8220;Real systems are not vibe coded.&#8221;</p><p>Are you sure?</p><p>Many serious companies now use AI tools in daily development. The code does not magically become fake because AI helped write it. What matters is review, testing, ownership.</p><p>The quality bar has always depended on the people maintaining the system.</p><h3><strong>The Real Divide</strong></h3><p>The divide is not between real engineers and vibe coders.</p><p>The divide is between:</p><p>&#8226; People who understand the problem and care about the outcome</p><p>&#8226; People who just execute tasks</p><p>AI gives superpowers to the first group. It exposes the second.</p><p>For me, vibe coding is not about speed memes. It is about agency. I can build what my business needs without waiting for someone else to prioritize it.</p><p>It is exciting. It is empowering. It is messy sometimes. But it is real.</p><h3><strong>Nobody Banned Mediocrity</strong></h3><p>Let me say this very simply.</p><p>Nobody banned mediocrity.</p><p>AI did not create it. It was always there.</p><p>Years ago, many accountants said computers would never replace paper. They said real bookkeeping must stay on paper. That serious work cannot happen on a screen.</p><p>The tool changed. The standard did not disappear. The market rewarded those who adapted and left the rest behind.</p><p>It is the same now.</p><p>Some developers will use AI to produce weak systems faster. Some founders will ship half-baked products and blame the tool. Some teams will pile up messy code.</p><p>That is not new.</p><p>AI lowers the entry barrier. It does not lower the bar for quality. If anything, the bar is higher now. Because speed is no longer the excuse.</p><p>If you understand your product and care about the result, AI is leverage.</p><p>If you do not, it will only expose it.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JqFZ!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95a79f1a-f11c-4919-80ef-867f57bbddd5_1507x967.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!JqFZ!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F95a79f1a-f11c-4919-80ef-867f57bbddd5_1507x967.png 424w, 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class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Real Breakthrough Was Not Speed]]></title><description><![CDATA[The Win Came From Removing the Step, Not Doing It Faster or Smarter]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/the-real-breakthrough-was-not-speed</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/the-real-breakthrough-was-not-speed</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2026 15:33:00 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NaKb!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F612e4ee3-79ea-4039-bc1f-52d5d0ca2629_1518x968.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For the last decade, entire industries transformed.</p><p>Ride-hailing replaced taxis.</p><p>Food delivery replaced calling restaurants.</p><p>E-commerce replaced ordering from catalogs.</p><p>Online booking replaced emailing hotels and travel agencies.</p><p>Most people assume the breakthrough was speed.</p><p>It was not.</p><p>Cars did not suddenly drive faster.</p><p>Kitchens did not start cooking twice as quickly.</p><p>Trucks did not break the laws of physics.</p><p>What changed was uncertainty.</p><p>The real breakthrough was removing the back-and-forth.</p><p>You stopped calling.</p><p>You stopped negotiating.</p><p>You stopped repeating your details.</p><p>Instead, you saw:</p><p>Who is coming.</p><p>Where they are.</p><p>When they will arrive.</p><p>What happens next.</p><p>That visibility changed behavior more than speed ever could.</p><h2><strong>Stop Automating the Wrong Layer</strong></h2><p>Many businesses try to improve outdated processes by automating them.</p><p>Smarter call centers.</p><p>AI answering calls.</p><p>AI replying to emails.</p><p>Chatbots handling messages.</p><p>But pause for a second.</p><p>When was the last time you called a taxi?</p><p>When was the last time you called a hotel and dictated your passport details and credit card over the phone?</p><p>The companies that won did not build better call centers.</p><p>They removed the need for them.</p><p>Email did not make fax machines faster. It replaced fax.</p><p>E-signatures did not improve printing and scanning. They removed both.</p><p>It is like building a tool that helps you copy and paste faster instead of building a system where data syncs automatically and copying disappears.</p><p>Automation creates real leverage when it removes the step itself.</p><p>Not when it decorates it.</p><h2><strong>Not Everything Should Disappear</strong></h2><p>This does not mean calls should vanish everywhere.</p><p>There will always be complex situations.</p><p>Major renovations.</p><p>Custom projects.</p><p>Edge cases that require discussion and inspection.</p><p>Back-and-forth is not wrong.</p><p>In many scenarios, it is necessary.</p><p>And if a process must exist, improving it makes sense.</p><p>The point is more specific.</p><p>Some categories no longer require that layer at all.</p><p>Booking a flight does not require emailing the airline.</p><p>Ordering food does not require calling the restaurant.</p><p>Booking a hotel does not require sending documents manually.</p><p>Getting a taxi does not require negotiating with dispatch.</p><p>Those steps were not optimized.</p><p>They were removed.</p><p>Urgent services contain many situations that are closer to ordering a taxi than to planning a custom renovation.</p><p>A clogged sink.</p><p>A dead battery.</p><p>A jammed lock.</p><p>A <a href="https://grillyan.com">grill that will not ignite</a>.</p><p>A toilet that will not flush.</p><p>These are defined problems.</p><p>They do not require five calls, repeated explanations, or layers of coordination. Most of them are a one-person job, one technician, one visit, one fix.</p><p>Complex work will always exist, custom builds, renovations, large installs.</p><p>But most urgent fixes are not complex. They are simple one-man jobs trapped inside a coordination model designed for multi-team projects.</p><h2><strong>Urgent Services Are Still Operating Like This</strong></h2><p>When something breaks, the pattern is predictable. You search online, submit a form, call a number, leave a voicemail, explain the problem, send photos, wait for a callback, answer the same questions again, discuss timing, ask for a rough estimate, and hope someone actually shows up.</p><p>And sometimes the job is so small that they simply decline it. Not worth the trip. Not worth blocking the schedule.</p><p>Most of the stress is not the repair itself. It is the uncertainty.</p><p>Will they respond today?</p><p>Will they fit you in?</p><p>Will they increase the price on arrival?</p><p>Will they cancel?</p><p>Will they even accept the job?</p><p>The delay is often tolerable.</p><p>The uncertainty is what drains you.</p><h2><strong>Inaccessibility Shrinks the Market</strong></h2><p>Every home and office has small problems that stay unfixed for months. A loose hinge, a drawer that sticks, a switch that works only sometimes, a slow leak under the sink, an appliance that runs but not properly. None of these are major projects. They are simple fixes.</p><p>They remain unresolved not because they are expensive or technically difficult, but because arranging the repair feels heavier than the problem itself. You think about searching, calling, waiting, explaining, negotiating a time slot. For something small, it feels disproportionate.</p><p>So you postpone. Or you replace.</p><p>You buy a new chair instead of tightening the frame. You replace a faucet instead of swapping a cartridge. You discard an appliance that needed a minor adjustment. The friction of access pushes people toward replacement instead of repair.</p><p>That creates waste. It increases long-term cost. And it quietly shrinks the repair economy.</p><p>When access becomes simple and predictable, behavior changes. People fix small things earlier. More jobs get done. Accessibility does not just improve convenience. It expands the market itself.</p><h2><strong>Stress Is Not a Minor Detail</strong></h2><p>When something breaks at the wrong moment, it affects more than the object.</p><p>The sink leaks late at night.</p><p>The toilet clogs during a family gathering.</p><p>The front door lock jams when everyone is in a rush.</p><p>Guests are arriving and the grill does not start.</p><p>Tension rises fast.</p><p>Plans shift.</p><p>People argue.</p><p>Blame appears.</p><p>The mechanical issue may be small.</p><p>The emotional impact is not.</p><p>Uncertainty multiplies stress inside families and businesses.</p><h2><strong>What <a href="https://urgify.app/">Urgify</a> Is Actually Building</strong></h2><p>Urgify is not about making technicians physically faster.</p><p>It is not about AI answering more calls.</p><p>It is about removing the unnecessary coordination layer.</p><p>No browsing endless profiles.</p><p>No calling five numbers.</p><p>No negotiating prices in the moment.</p><p>No vague promises.</p><p>Instead:</p><p>A request is created.</p><p>A provider accepts it.</p><p>The acceptance is visible.</p><p>The status is tracked.</p><p>Responsibility is clear.</p><p>Not automating chaos.</p><p>Removing it.</p><p>The goal is not more communication.</p><p>It is less friction.</p><p>Ride-hailing did this.</p><p>Food delivery did this.</p><p>E-commerce did this.</p><p>Urgent local services are simply late to the same structural shift.</p><p>The real breakthrough was never speed.</p><p>It was certainty.</p><p>Certainty comes from removing the step that creates doubt in the first place.</p><p>That is why we built <a href="https://urgify.app/">Urgify</a>.</p><p>Not to create smarter phone trees.</p><p>Not to make messaging faster.</p><p>Not to optimize negotiation.</p><p>But to make that negotiation unnecessary for most defined urgent tasks.</p><p>Is it difficult?</p><p>Of course.</p><p>You are dealing with the physical world.</p><p>With real people.</p><p>With unpredictable variables.</p><p>But is it doable?</p><p>One hundred percent yes.</p><p>Other industries have already shown the pattern.</p><p>Eliminate the unnecessary step.</p><p>Make commitment visible.</p><p>Use automation to remove friction, not decorate it.</p><p>Urgify exists to bring that shift to urgent local services.</p><p>And once that shift happens, behavior changes.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://urgify.app/" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NaKb!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F612e4ee3-79ea-4039-bc1f-52d5d0ca2629_1518x968.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NaKb!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F612e4ee3-79ea-4039-bc1f-52d5d0ca2629_1518x968.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NaKb!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F612e4ee3-79ea-4039-bc1f-52d5d0ca2629_1518x968.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NaKb!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F612e4ee3-79ea-4039-bc1f-52d5d0ca2629_1518x968.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NaKb!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F612e4ee3-79ea-4039-bc1f-52d5d0ca2629_1518x968.png" width="1456" height="928" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/612e4ee3-79ea-4039-bc1f-52d5d0ca2629_1518x968.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:928,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2926131,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://urgify.app/&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/187744418?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F612e4ee3-79ea-4039-bc1f-52d5d0ca2629_1518x968.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NaKb!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F612e4ee3-79ea-4039-bc1f-52d5d0ca2629_1518x968.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NaKb!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F612e4ee3-79ea-4039-bc1f-52d5d0ca2629_1518x968.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NaKb!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F612e4ee3-79ea-4039-bc1f-52d5d0ca2629_1518x968.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!NaKb!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F612e4ee3-79ea-4039-bc1f-52d5d0ca2629_1518x968.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The BS Factor: Why Humans Will Always Outmaneuver Machines]]></title><description><![CDATA[AI learns our stories. Humans live the mess behind them.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/the-bs-factor-why-humans-will-always</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/the-bs-factor-why-humans-will-always</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 30 Jan 2026 18:40:57 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P2XM!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2dc72e30-d2e6-42a7-a219-cf889c92040b_1506x924.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Humans are not good at transmitting reality.</p><p>We compress uncertainty into stories. We simplify causality. We remove randomness. We rewrite events so they feel coherent, intentional, and explainable.</p><p>This is not moral failure. It is a coping mechanism. Reality is messy, probabilistic, and uncomfortable. Stories make it survivable. They make it teachable.</p><p>This distortion shows up everywhere. In education. In business. In social media. And now, in how we train machines.</p><p>Once you see the pattern, the rest becomes obvious.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P2XM!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2dc72e30-d2e6-42a7-a219-cf889c92040b_1506x924.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P2XM!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2dc72e30-d2e6-42a7-a219-cf889c92040b_1506x924.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P2XM!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2dc72e30-d2e6-42a7-a219-cf889c92040b_1506x924.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P2XM!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2dc72e30-d2e6-42a7-a219-cf889c92040b_1506x924.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P2XM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2dc72e30-d2e6-42a7-a219-cf889c92040b_1506x924.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P2XM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2dc72e30-d2e6-42a7-a219-cf889c92040b_1506x924.png" width="1456" height="893" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/2dc72e30-d2e6-42a7-a219-cf889c92040b_1506x924.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:893,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2268517,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/186335306?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2dc72e30-d2e6-42a7-a219-cf889c92040b_1506x924.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P2XM!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2dc72e30-d2e6-42a7-a219-cf889c92040b_1506x924.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P2XM!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2dc72e30-d2e6-42a7-a219-cf889c92040b_1506x924.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P2XM!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2dc72e30-d2e6-42a7-a219-cf889c92040b_1506x924.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!P2XM!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F2dc72e30-d2e6-42a7-a219-cf889c92040b_1506x924.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>1. The Professor Problem</strong></h2><p>Business education is a clean version of a dirty process.</p><p>Students are taught through success stories, frameworks, and confident explanations. Failures are minimized. The uncomfortable parts are reframed as &#8220;bad luck&#8221; or removed entirely.</p><p>The result is predictable. Graduates who can repeat models but struggle to reason under uncertainty.</p><p>Real critical thinking is built on what is missing. Constraints. Tradeoffs. Failed experiments. Decisions that were reasonable at the time and still led to collapse. The reasons a good idea died anyway.</p><p>Research on entrepreneurial learning consistently shows that failure can be a powerful input, but only when it is confronted directly. Learning depends on reflection, context, and honest processing. When failure is softened to protect ego, it stops teaching.</p><p>When educators hide their own failures or rewrite them as abstract &#8220;lessons learned,&#8221; students lose the most important dataset: what actually happened and why.</p><p>The damage is not just incomplete information. It is causal distortion.</p><p>Students over-attribute outcomes to intelligence, grit, or vision. They under-attribute to constraints, execution detail, and chance.</p><p>If the dataset is curated, the student becomes confidently wrong.</p><h2><strong>2. The More Dangerous Problem: We Often Don&#8217;t Know Why Things Worked</strong></h2><p>Hiding failure is not the worst issue.</p><p>Not knowing why something succeeded is worse.</p><p>A startup raises capital. The founder explains it as product-market fit, timing, or traction. The real driver may have been invisible. A fund needed to deploy capital before quarter end. Other deals collapsed. Internal incentives forced a yes.</p><p>The founder never sees this. They only see the outcome. So they construct a story that feels true.</p><p>This happens everywhere. A hire works out. Was it the process or luck. A launch succeeds. Was it positioning or timing. A deal fails. Was it execution or an unrelated external event.</p><p>Humans reconstruct narratives after outcomes. Uncertainty becomes inevitability. This is not dishonesty. It is cognition.</p><p>The business world is full of single-sample experiments presented as universal lessons. Someone succeeds once, then teaches a framework. But running an experiment once does not allow you to separate signal from noise.</p><p>Maybe the success came from geography. Or timing. Or an introduction they did not earn. Or a competitor imploding quietly.</p><p>They will never know. But they will explain it anyway.</p><h2><strong>3. Social Media as a Bias Engine</strong></h2><p>Social media is not fake. It is selectively coherent.</p><p>It rewards confidence, certainty, and clean narratives. Ambiguity does not travel well.</p><p>Nobody posts: &#8220;I don&#8217;t know why this worked. It might fail tomorrow.&#8221;</p><p>They post: &#8220;Here are the five lessons learned.&#8221;</p><p>Even honest attempts at reflection require compression. Random events become strategy. Chaos becomes intent.</p><p>So the internet is not a record of reality. It is reality filtered for status, incentives, and narrative clarity.</p><p>This matters because modern AI systems learn from large volumes of human-generated text. When the text is biased toward polished stories, the model learns polished stories.</p><p>Just like the student.</p><p>AI is trained on the rewritten version, not the confused, partial, contradictory reality underneath.</p><h2><strong>4. AI as a Student of Our Edited Selves</strong></h2><p>The simplest mental model of AI is this.</p><p>It is a student that never lived a life but read everything.</p><p>The problem is that much of what it reads is performance.</p><p>AI learns what humans say happened, not what actually happened. Humans lie constantly. Not always deliberately. Often socially. Often unconsciously.</p><p>In machine learning, this shows up as bias in data and bias in models. Training data reflects omissions, selection effects, and social incentives. The model absorbs them.</p><p>Better documentation helps. Transparency helps. But none of that fixes the underlying issue.</p><p>The source material is already distorted.</p><h2><strong>5. Why &#8220;AGI&#8221; Might Never Understand Humans</strong></h2><p>Many arguments focus on consciousness or embodiment.</p><p>A simpler explanation exists.</p><p>We are training machines on a version of humanity optimized for approval.</p><p>We hide incompetence. Contradictory motivations. Hypocrisy. Confusion about causality. Random events we later call vision. Decisions made for one reason and justified with another.</p><p>Most importantly, we hide the moments when we genuinely do not know whether success came from skill or luck.</p><p>Lies can sometimes be detected. Confusion cannot.</p><p>When humans themselves cannot separate signal from noise in their own lives, there is nothing clean to teach.</p><p>We publish press releases. Machines become excellent at writing press releases.</p><p>They learn what intelligence sounds like, not what decision-making looks like under pressure.</p><p>As long as this continues, AI will misunderstand the most human parts of us. The irrational. The social. The ego-driven. The inconsistent. The private.</p><p>Not because it cannot model them. Because we refuse to describe them honestly.</p><h2><strong>6. The Asymmetry That Remains</strong></h2><p>Humans retain an advantage over machines, but not for the reasons people usually claim.</p><p>Not intelligence. Not creativity. Not consciousness.</p><p>The advantage is structural.</p><p>Humans do not operate on clean data. We act on incomplete, contradictory, and often wrong explanations of our own behavior. We make decisions without understanding the full causal chain. We revise our reasons after the fact. We pursue outcomes for one reason and justify them with another.</p><p>AI learns from the explanations. Humans act inside the confusion.</p><p>Machines need consistent signals to optimize. Humans thrive in inconsistency. We change goals mid-stream. We respond to social pressure, fear, ego, and status in ways we do not fully articulate, and often do not even notice.</p><p>AI learns the narrative layer. Humans operate below it.</p><p>This creates a permanent mismatch.</p><p>As long as humans continue to curate truth, simplify causality, and rewrite uncertainty into stories, machines will be trained on a <strong>made-up</strong> world rather than the one humans actually inhabit.</p><p>That world does not exist.</p><p>So AI will continue to be highly competent, and consistently wrong.</p><p>Not because it lacks capability, but because it is learning from performance instead of practice.</p><p>This is why humans will always outmaneuver machines.</p><p>Not by being more rational, but by being less legible.</p><p>Not as a tactic, but as a condition of being human.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[We Keep Judging New Technology by the Wrong Standards]]></title><description><![CDATA[The bottleneck is attention, judgment, and prioritization.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/we-keep-judging-new-technology-by</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/we-keep-judging-new-technology-by</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 26 Jan 2026 16:14:22 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VZM5!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ee9e9d-11a4-4e51-9b37-1880d32ef256_1492x972.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Every major technological shift comes with noise. Jokes, nitpicking, moral panic, and endless debates about what is &#8220;good enough&#8221; and what is &#8220;not ready yet.&#8221;</p><p>AI is no different.</p><p>Right now, a lot of discussion revolves around what can realistically be automated. What tasks are safe. What jobs are next. What AI still cannot do.</p><p>That discussion sounds practical. But it quietly misses where the real constraint already is.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VZM5!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ee9e9d-11a4-4e51-9b37-1880d32ef256_1492x972.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VZM5!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ee9e9d-11a4-4e51-9b37-1880d32ef256_1492x972.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VZM5!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ee9e9d-11a4-4e51-9b37-1880d32ef256_1492x972.png 848w, 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srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VZM5!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ee9e9d-11a4-4e51-9b37-1880d32ef256_1492x972.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VZM5!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ee9e9d-11a4-4e51-9b37-1880d32ef256_1492x972.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VZM5!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ee9e9d-11a4-4e51-9b37-1880d32ef256_1492x972.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!VZM5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F50ee9e9d-11a4-4e51-9b37-1880d32ef256_1492x972.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h3><strong>Execution Is No Longer the Hard Part</strong></h3><p>AI removed execution limits faster than humans can adapt.</p><p>One person can now do what used to require a full team. Write, design, code, analyze, research, iterate. The tools are not perfect, but they are more than capable.</p><p>The bottleneck is no longer execution.</p><p>The bottleneck is attention, judgment, and prioritization.</p><p>We already see this inside teams and large organizations. Not moving forward is rarely caused by lack of tools or talent. It happens because decision-making cannot keep up with the volume of possibilities. Too many options. Too many paths. Too many things that can be done right now.</p><p>Brains choke long before software does.</p><p>Process automation is largely solved. The next real shift is decision-making. Choosing what matters. Choosing what to ignore. Choosing what to ship and what to kill.</p><p>This pattern repeats across industries.</p><h3><strong>Tesla Criticism Misses the Category Shift</strong></h3><p>Look at how people talk about Teslas.</p><p>Panel gaps. Plastic interiors. Water leaks. Usually compared to German cars and traditional craftsmanship.</p><p>Meanwhile, the car drives itself.</p><p>That single fact changes the category. Once autonomy enters the picture, interior trim stops being the defining metric. Judging a self-driving car by legacy standards is like comparing horse carriage upholstery after the engine was invented.</p><p>The comparison is not wrong. It is irrelevant.</p><p>Autonomy changes what the product even is. And today, no traditional manufacturer is close to matching that capability at scale.</p><p>History shows this pattern clearly. When a new category appears, people cling to familiar metrics because they feel safe. Familiarity is comforting. It lets people avoid confronting the implications of change.</p><h3><strong>The Same Thing Is Happening in Software</strong></h3><p>Now look at the &#8220;vibe coding&#8221; debate.</p><p>Software engineers mocking AI-generated code. Complaints about structure, cleanliness, style, maintainability. Some of it is valid. Much of it is missing context.</p><p>After more than 25 years working with in-house teams and vendors of every size, I can say this without hesitation. Humans have shipped unmaintainable garbage for decades. Production systems full of hacks, shortcuts, copy-paste logic, and bugs no one understands.</p><p>AI introduces a new kind of weirdness. But it also removes excuses.</p><p>When execution becomes cheap, judgment becomes visible. When anyone can generate code, taste and discipline matter more. Sloppiness gets exposed faster. Competition increases. Comfort disappears.</p><p>That pressure is healthy.</p><p>It forces developers to think more carefully about architecture, constraints, and outcomes. Not because AI is perfect, but because mediocrity is harder to hide.</p><h3><strong>The Common Failure Pattern</strong></h3><p>Across AI automation, self-driving cars, and vibe coding, the pattern is the same.</p><p>People obsess over surface flaws while the underlying category shifts.</p><p>They argue about polish while leverage explodes.</p><p>They debate aesthetics while the cost of iteration collapses.</p><p>They defend old standards because those standards once defined their advantage.</p><p>History is not kind to that mindset.</p><p>The winners are rarely the people who perfect yesterday&#8217;s metrics. They are the ones who recognize when the scorecard itself has changed.</p><h3><strong>The Real Question for 2026</strong></h3><p>The uncomfortable truth is this.</p><p>Most people are no longer blocked by execution. They are blocked by decisions.</p><p>What to build.</p><p>What to ignore.</p><p>What to stop doing.</p><p>What actually matters.</p><p>AI did not eliminate the need for humans. It raised the bar on judgment.</p><p>So the real question going into 2026 is not what AI can or cannot do.</p><p>It is this.</p><p>What is actually bottlenecking you now.</p><p>Execution. Or decisions, taste, and judgment.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Comforting Lie of the “One Cure” ]]></title><description><![CDATA[The dangerous comfort of simple health answers]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/the-comforting-lie-of-the-one-cure</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/the-comforting-lie-of-the-one-cure</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 14 Jan 2026 14:47:28 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ofg!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23c12111-1f4c-40b4-aae2-e2000068c964_1516x1000.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I hear this more and more often.</p><p>Someone discovers a new &#8220;curing thing&#8221;. A pill, a compound, a diet, a peptide, a plant extract. Supposedly it cures almost everything. Cancer, inflammation, depression, aging, sometimes even bad posture and bad luck.</p><p>And then comes the familiar explanation.</p><p>Doctors are hiding it.</p><p>Big pharma is blocking it.</p><p>Governments are evil.</p><p>Everyone is greedy.</p><p>Of course, there are bad people. There are bad doctors, sometimes even criminals. There are corporations that chase profit at the expense of ethics. Anyone who says otherwise is naive. But stopping the conversation there is lazy thinking. People who accept these simple explanations too easily are often influenced by a well-crafted marketing narrative rather than a real look at reality.</p><p>Let&#8217;s talk about a few uncomfortable realities.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ofg!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23c12111-1f4c-40b4-aae2-e2000068c964_1516x1000.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ofg!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23c12111-1f4c-40b4-aae2-e2000068c964_1516x1000.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ofg!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23c12111-1f4c-40b4-aae2-e2000068c964_1516x1000.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ofg!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23c12111-1f4c-40b4-aae2-e2000068c964_1516x1000.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ofg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23c12111-1f4c-40b4-aae2-e2000068c964_1516x1000.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ofg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23c12111-1f4c-40b4-aae2-e2000068c964_1516x1000.png" width="1456" height="960" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/23c12111-1f4c-40b4-aae2-e2000068c964_1516x1000.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:960,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:3428041,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/184545423?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23c12111-1f4c-40b4-aae2-e2000068c964_1516x1000.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ofg!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23c12111-1f4c-40b4-aae2-e2000068c964_1516x1000.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ofg!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23c12111-1f4c-40b4-aae2-e2000068c964_1516x1000.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ofg!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23c12111-1f4c-40b4-aae2-e2000068c964_1516x1000.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6ofg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F23c12111-1f4c-40b4-aae2-e2000068c964_1516x1000.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h3><strong>1. Yes, the healthcare system is flawed. And yes, it still saves lives.</strong></h3><p>Almost everyone I know has a story. A wrong diagnosis. A prescription that made things worse. A doctor who did not listen. Sometimes the consequences were lethal.</p><p>Healthcare systems are bureaucratic. Incentives are often broken. Mistakes happen more than they should.</p><p>And yet.</p><p>When your child has a high fever and nothing helps, you go to a doctor.</p><p>When someone has appendicitis, pills from TikTok will not help.</p><p>When a bacterial infection hits, antibiotics work. Period.</p><p>Many doctors do an excellent job. Many drugs work exactly as intended. Many companies have created treatments that radically changed human survival and quality of life. And let&#8217;s not forget that average human life expectancy was around <strong>30&#8211;40 years</strong> at the beginning of the 20th century, and today it is <strong>over 70 years globally</strong>, more than <strong>double in just one century</strong>.</p><p>Both things can be true at the same time. A system can be flawed and still essential.</p><h3><strong>2. Living systems are not simple machines</strong></h3><p>This is the part most miracle-cure narratives ignore.</p><p>The human body is not a flashlight where you change a battery and everything works again.</p><p>Each cell is a factory. Each system is interconnected. Hormones, immune responses, microbiome, genetics, environment, stress, sleep, nutrition. Everything affects everything.</p><p>A substance that helps one pathway can harm another.</p><p>A dose that helps one person can hurt another.</p><p>Short-term improvement can hide long-term damage.</p><p>Biology is messy. Nuanced. Probabilistic.</p><p>The idea that one tablet can &#8220;fix everything&#8221; is not optimistic. It is scientifically childish.</p><p>If something truly cured everything, it would not be hidden. It would be impossible to hide. And of course there are always new things that are mostly not yet accepted, and sometimes they become something real and useful.</p><h3><strong>3. Reading an article does not make you an expert</strong></h3><p>We live in a time where access to information is confused with understanding.</p><p>Someone reads three blog posts, watches a podcast, and suddenly knows more than people who spent decades studying a field, especially when it comes to the human body and living organisms.</p><p>Science does not work like that.</p><p>Most scientific questions do not have final answers. They have current best explanations. These evolve. They get refined. Sometimes they get replaced.</p><p>That does not make science weak. It is just what it is, and it is real.</p><p>Certainty is usually a red flag. Especially when it comes with a product link.</p><h3><strong>4. We have seen this cycle before, many times</strong></h3><p>This is not new.</p><p>Years ago, cholesterol was the enemy. Fat was bad. Eggs were dangerous. Butter or meat was almost treated like poison.</p><p>Then the narrative shifted. Sugar became the villain, even though hundreds of years ago it was saving lives from hunger. Then carbs. Then gluten. Suddenly gluten was the root of everything, even for people without celiac disease.</p><p>Later it was seed oils. Then lectins. Then oxalates. Then histamines. Now it is peptides, compounds, injections, protocols.</p><p>Each wave follows the same pattern.</p><p>A complex problem is reduced to one cause.</p><p>A single fix is promoted as universal.</p><p>Dissent is framed as corruption or ignorance.</p><p>Sometimes these trends contain a grain of truth, blown up by marketing. Often they help a subset of people. Almost never are they universal.</p><p>Human biology did not suddenly change every five years. The story did.</p><h3><strong>5. &#8220;Natural&#8221; does not mean safe, and &#8220;synthetic&#8221; does not mean dangerous</strong></h3><p>One of the most common tricks in miracle-cure narratives is language.</p><p>&#8220;Natural&#8221; is framed as good.</p><p>&#8220;Chemical&#8221; or &#8220;synthetic&#8221; is framed as bad.</p><p>This is marketing, not biology.</p><p>Arsenic and sulfides are natural. So is cyanide.</p><p>Insulin is manufactured. So are vaccines.</p><p>What matters is not where a substance comes from, but how it interacts with the body, at what dose, for how long, and in which context.</p><p>Nature does not optimize for human safety. It optimizes for survival.</p><h3><strong>6. Correlation feels convincing. Causation is hard.</strong></h3><p>Another reason miracle cures spread so fast is personal stories.</p><p>&#8220;I took X and I felt better.&#8221;</p><p>&#8220;My inflammation disappeared.&#8221;</p><p>&#8220;My friend reversed everything.&#8221;</p><p>These experiences feel real because they are real to the person experiencing them.</p><p>I always remember my medical university years, when one of my professors used to say, <strong>&#8220;I believe it happened after taking that, but prove to me that it was because of that.&#8221;</strong></p><p>Symptoms fluctuate. Placebo effects are powerful and measurable. Lifestyle changes often happen alongside the &#8220;cure&#8221; and get ignored.</p><p>Science tries to separate coincidence from cause. That process is slow and boring.</p><p>Stories are fast and emotionally satisfying. That is why they dominate the internet.</p><h3><strong>7. If something works, it eventually gets adopted</strong></h3><p>There is a belief that effective treatments are always suppressed forever.</p><p>History does not support this.</p><p>Treatments that work eventually spread because doctors want better outcomes, researchers want recognition, and companies want profit.</p><p>That alignment is imperfect, but it exists.</p><p>This is why antibiotics exist.</p><p>This is why insulin exists.</p><p>This is why anesthesia exists.</p><p>Suppression narratives assume a level of global coordination that simply does not exist.</p><h3><strong>8. The internet rewards certainty, not accuracy</strong></h3><p>Online platforms reward confidence, not precision.</p><p>A video titled &#8220;This might help some people under specific conditions&#8221; will not go viral.</p><p>&#8220;This cures everything they don&#8217;t want you to know&#8221; will.</p><p>Algorithms amplify emotional certainty. Fear, anger, and outrage travel faster than careful explanation.</p><p>Over time, nuance loses.</p><h3><strong>9. Wanting simple answers is human</strong></h3><p>People are not stupid for wanting simple solutions.</p><p>Chronic illness is exhausting. The healthcare system can feel cold and transactional. Many people feel unheard.</p><p>A single cure offers comfort. It creates villains and heroes. It restores a sense of control. <strong>What rarely gets discussed are the lives lost or the conditions made worse when people fully commit to these &#8220;single cure&#8221; campaigns and delay or abandon real treatment.</strong></p><p>That emotional need deserves empathy.</p><p>But empathy should not turn into blind acceptance.</p><h3><strong>10. Science is not truth. It is a process.</strong></h3><p>This mistake is not limited to health.</p><p>When AI tools appeared, many people treated their answers as absolute truth. Final. Non-discussable.</p><p>But AI does not produce truth. It produces likely answers based on existing and popular data.</p><p>Science works the same way. Models evolve. Theories change. Knowledge expands.</p><p>Anyone selling certainty is not educating you. They are selling relief from uncertainty.</p><p>And uncertainty is part of reality.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Urgify Soft Launch: Why the Service Industry Is Still Broken and Why It’s Time to Fix It]]></title><description><![CDATA[For the last decade, almost every part of our daily life has been transformed.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/urgify-soft-launch-why-the-service</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/urgify-soft-launch-why-the-service</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 03 Dec 2025 21:32:03 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XzPU!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48341a01-596b-4e59-91e8-700f75a49983_1119x871.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For the last decade, almost every part of our daily life has been transformed.</p><p>Food delivery went from calling a random restaurant to tapping two buttons.</p><p>Transportation went from &#8220;Do you have a taxi number?&#8221; to a car arriving in minutes.</p><p>Hotels and rentals became instant, transparent digital bookings.</p><p>But one industry is still stuck in 1998:</p><p><strong>Urgent real-world services.</strong></p><p>When something breaks: a lock, a pipe, a tire, a battery, a <a href="https://grillyan.com">grill</a>, your Wi-Fi - you still follow the same outdated routine:</p><ul><li><p>Google &#8220;handyman near me&#8221;</p></li><li><p>Call five numbers</p></li><li><p>Three don&#8217;t answer</p></li><li><p>One says &#8220;maybe tomorrow&#8221;</p></li><li><p>One wants pictures, videos, and a full explanation</p></li><li><p>And maybe, if you&#8217;re lucky, someone eventually shows up one day</p></li></ul><p>And the strangest part?</p><p><strong>We all accept this as normal.</strong></p><h2><strong>The real world is modern everywhere except where it matters most</strong></h2><p>You can order a sandwich, a car, or a place to stay in seconds.</p><p>But fixing a leaking pipe still requires negotiating, guessing prices, and hoping someone is available.</p><p>Platforms evolved in food, transportation, accommodations&#8230;</p><p>but <strong><a href="https://urgify.app/">urgent help</a></strong> never got a true upgrade.</p><p>Not because people don&#8217;t need it, but because the existing tools weren&#8217;t built for sudden, unplanned problems.</p><p>Marketplaces want you to browse.</p><p>Directories want you to call.</p><p>Business software wants you to manage a company.</p><p>None of them help when you&#8217;re standing outside a locked door or staring at water dripping from your ceiling.</p><p>Urgent moments require <strong>speed</strong>, not browsing.</p><p><strong>Clarity</strong>, not negotiation.</p><p><strong>Action</strong>, not back-and-forth messaging.</p><p>So we built something new.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://urgify.app/" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XzPU!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48341a01-596b-4e59-91e8-700f75a49983_1119x871.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XzPU!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48341a01-596b-4e59-91e8-700f75a49983_1119x871.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XzPU!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48341a01-596b-4e59-91e8-700f75a49983_1119x871.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XzPU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48341a01-596b-4e59-91e8-700f75a49983_1119x871.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XzPU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48341a01-596b-4e59-91e8-700f75a49983_1119x871.png" width="1119" height="871" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/48341a01-596b-4e59-91e8-700f75a49983_1119x871.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:871,&quot;width&quot;:1119,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1848631,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://urgify.app/&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/180645577?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48341a01-596b-4e59-91e8-700f75a49983_1119x871.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XzPU!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48341a01-596b-4e59-91e8-700f75a49983_1119x871.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XzPU!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48341a01-596b-4e59-91e8-700f75a49983_1119x871.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XzPU!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48341a01-596b-4e59-91e8-700f75a49983_1119x871.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!XzPU!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F48341a01-596b-4e59-91e8-700f75a49983_1119x871.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h1><strong>Introducing <a href="https://urgify.app/">Urgify</a>.app - Soft Launch</strong></h1><p><strong>Urgify connects you with service providers the same way other aggregators do.</strong></p><p>Not a marketplace.</p><p>Not a directory.</p><p>Not B2B software.</p><p>Just fast, reliable help when something breaks.</p><h3><strong>How it works:</strong></h3><p>You describe the issue &#8594;</p><p>You select the pricing option &#8594;</p><p>The nearest available provider is dispatched.</p><p>No browsing.</p><p>No quotes.</p><p>No calling around.</p><p>No &#8220;maybe next week.&#8221;</p><p>And for people who want to work for themselves, Urgify delivers real jobs instantly - no bidding, no chasing leads, no unpaid conversations.</p><p>This model removes friction for both sides:</p><p>customers get help fast, and providers <a href="https://urgify.app/service-provider-register">get real work without noise</a>.</p><h1><strong>Why start small?</strong></h1><p>Because the goal isn&#8217;t hype.</p><p>It&#8217;s correctness.</p><p>Urgify isn&#8217;t a marketplace with thousands of random gigs.</p><p>It&#8217;s a structured, reliable system for urgent situations - so every detail matters.</p><p>We are launching this as a controlled experiment, improving daily, learning from real behavior, and expanding step by step.</p><p>The vision is simple:</p><p><strong>Modern life shouldn&#8217;t break every time something breaks.</strong></p><p><strong>Urgent help needs to join the rest of the on-demand world.</strong></p><h1><strong>Soft launch is live. More updates soon.</strong></h1><p>We&#8217;re just getting started.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[My First Book Is Finally Out]]></title><description><![CDATA[My first book is published.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/my-first-book-is-finally-out</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/my-first-book-is-finally-out</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 16 Nov 2025 21:10:02 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cqxC!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76788ebd-8315-403f-9680-4e8bbfd044e9_694x1019.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My first book is published. It feels strange, good, and a little unreal.</p><p>I wrote most of it months ago. Then I stopped. I told myself it wasn&#8217;t ready. That it needed more editing. That maybe I shouldn&#8217;t publish it at all. I opened the draft. Closed it. Rewrote a few parts. Ignored it for weeks. This loop repeated too many times. If you&#8217;ve ever tried to finish something personal, you know the feeling.</p><p>At some point I realized there is no perfect version. A book doesn&#8217;t get better because you stare at it longer. It only becomes real when you publish it. So I finished it as it is, rough edges and all. That decision felt honest.</p><p>The book is called <em><a href="https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0G2JDK1BS">Bones: 21 Clich&#233;s Running and Ruining Your Business</a></em>. But it&#8217;s not really about these twenty-one clich&#233;s. We all have our own sets of phrases we repeat without thinking. Some come from our first jobs. Some from managers we once respected. Some from fear. Some from habit. They quietly shape how we act, decide, and explain things to ourselves.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0G2JDK1BS" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cqxC!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76788ebd-8315-403f-9680-4e8bbfd044e9_694x1019.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cqxC!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76788ebd-8315-403f-9680-4e8bbfd044e9_694x1019.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cqxC!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76788ebd-8315-403f-9680-4e8bbfd044e9_694x1019.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cqxC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76788ebd-8315-403f-9680-4e8bbfd044e9_694x1019.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cqxC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76788ebd-8315-403f-9680-4e8bbfd044e9_694x1019.png" width="694" height="1019" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/76788ebd-8315-403f-9680-4e8bbfd044e9_694x1019.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1019,&quot;width&quot;:694,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:110104,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0G2JDK1BS&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/179081301?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76788ebd-8315-403f-9680-4e8bbfd044e9_694x1019.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cqxC!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76788ebd-8315-403f-9680-4e8bbfd044e9_694x1019.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cqxC!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76788ebd-8315-403f-9680-4e8bbfd044e9_694x1019.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cqxC!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76788ebd-8315-403f-9680-4e8bbfd044e9_694x1019.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!cqxC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F76788ebd-8315-403f-9680-4e8bbfd044e9_694x1019.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>My list won&#8217;t match your list. That&#8217;s the whole point. The book is meant to make you notice your own patterns, not copy mine.</p><p>Every chapter is short. One clich&#233;, a few angles, a few questions. You can agree with a chapter or disagree with it. That tension is what makes it useful. I didn&#8217;t try to hand out rules or claim authority. I wanted something simple that invites reflection, not a lecture disguised as a book.</p><p>This is why finishing it feels good. The second one is already in progress. I feel more confident moving forward without overthinking every page.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI Is Not Replacing Developers. It’s Exposing Those Who Were Pretending and Empowering Real Engineers.]]></title><description><![CDATA[The real change isn&#8217;t about job loss. It&#8217;s about who can build, think, and adapt when the things evolve.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/ai-is-not-replacing-developers-its</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/ai-is-not-replacing-developers-its</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 21 Oct 2025 20:56:44 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!35pl!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cf480ca-9c82-4f59-978b-77db0d2c563d_709x646.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The internet is full of predictions that robots will take over every job, that we&#8217;re close to artificial general intelligence, or that the world will change overnight.</p><p>Meanwhile, most people are just doing their jobs. Managing clients, answering emails, caring for lawns, connecting cables, and dealing with real work. Many have no idea what AGI or &#8220;vibe coding&#8221; even means. Others are nervous about it without knowing exactly why. The story always sounds the same, cheaper, faster, smarter machines will take over, and we&#8217;ll all watch from the sidelines. I think it was something similar when cars came to replace horses, and people worried about jobs being wiped out, but they just evolved.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!35pl!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cf480ca-9c82-4f59-978b-77db0d2c563d_709x646.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!35pl!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cf480ca-9c82-4f59-978b-77db0d2c563d_709x646.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!35pl!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cf480ca-9c82-4f59-978b-77db0d2c563d_709x646.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!35pl!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cf480ca-9c82-4f59-978b-77db0d2c563d_709x646.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!35pl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cf480ca-9c82-4f59-978b-77db0d2c563d_709x646.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!35pl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cf480ca-9c82-4f59-978b-77db0d2c563d_709x646.jpeg" width="709" height="646" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5cf480ca-9c82-4f59-978b-77db0d2c563d_709x646.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:646,&quot;width&quot;:709,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:145851,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/175246237?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cf480ca-9c82-4f59-978b-77db0d2c563d_709x646.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!35pl!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cf480ca-9c82-4f59-978b-77db0d2c563d_709x646.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!35pl!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cf480ca-9c82-4f59-978b-77db0d2c563d_709x646.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!35pl!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cf480ca-9c82-4f59-978b-77db0d2c563d_709x646.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!35pl!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5cf480ca-9c82-4f59-978b-77db0d2c563d_709x646.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>And in the first place, people say AI will replace developers. That&#8217;s not what&#8217;s happening.</p><p>AI isn&#8217;t replacing developers. It&#8217;s exposing them.</p><p>For years, tech has been full of people who called themselves developers but never really built anything meaningful. They managed processes, wrote shallow code, outsourced complexity, and made everything look harder than it was. That kind of work is disappearing.</p><p>AI is separating people who think from people who copy. It removes the gap between an idea and execution. You can&#8217;t hide behind process anymore.</p><p>The developers who care about logic, systems, and design now have a tool that multiplies their output. The ones who built careers around buzzwords and inflated rates are being replaced, not by AI, but by transparency and simple common sense.</p><p>I&#8217;ve spent most of my life in tech. I built software companies, led teams, and worked closely with engineers. But there was always a barrier. I never learned to code.</p><p>That limitation shaped how I worked. I understood the problem but couldn&#8217;t directly create the solution. I had to translate ideas through others. Some got it, others didn&#8217;t, and progress always depended on someone else&#8217;s speed and priorities.</p><p>That&#8217;s not the case anymore.</p><p>AI removed that barrier. I can sit down, describe what I want to build, and watch it come to life. I can test, adjust, and deploy without waiting for anyone. I still don&#8217;t call myself a programmer or software engineer, but I can now build software products myself.</p><p>It&#8217;s not about replacing developers. It&#8217;s about removing friction between ideas and action.</p><p>When you can move from concept to prototype in a day or two, your entire approach to building changes. You stop waiting for perfect plans and start experimenting. You stop asking for permission and start creating.</p><p>AI didn&#8217;t end software development. It made it honest.</p><p>Real engineers are thriving because they finally have tools that let them focus on solving problems faster. Pretenders are fading because they were never builders to begin with.</p><p>This is the transition we&#8217;re in. Not mass replacement, but redefinition. The same way digital cameras didn&#8217;t kill photography, they exposed who actually understood light and composition. The ones who only knew how to take pictures aren&#8217;t needed anymore, any child can do that.</p><p>AI is doing the same for engineering. It rewards people who think clearly, build practically, and adapt fast.</p><p>If you&#8217;ve been sitting on an idea because you &#8220;don&#8217;t know how to code,&#8221; or don&#8217;t have the budget to hire software engineers, that excuse doesn&#8217;t work anymore. You can learn the basics. You can use AI tools to build. You can ship something real. And of course, you won&#8217;t manage to scale alone, and nobody is planning to.</p><p>You don&#8217;t need to become an engineer. But you should think like one.</p><p>AI is already filtering who does and who doesn&#8217;t.</p><p>That&#8217;s the real change, not job loss, but truth.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Misleading Narratives About Being a Founder/Entrepreneur]]></title><description><![CDATA[Scroll through LinkedIn or startup circles long enough and you&#8217;ll see the same patterns.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/the-misleading-narratives-about-being</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/the-misleading-narratives-about-being</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Mon, 06 Oct 2025 14:59:02 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-PkW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1e6e420-36e3-44c1-86ea-3915de2af3ff_872x834.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Scroll through LinkedIn or startup circles long enough and you&#8217;ll see the same patterns.</p><p>The &#8220;founder journey.&#8221; The &#8220;light and dark sides of entrepreneurship.&#8221; The &#8220;everything costs something&#8221; speech.</p><p>They sound deep, but most of them are motivational packaging, not reality. Many come from people who want to look like founders more than they want to build something real.</p><p>You can spot it easily. Endless posts about <strong>fundraising rounds</strong>, <strong>team culture</strong>, <strong>resilience</strong>, <strong>morning routines</strong>, <strong>founder depression</strong>, <strong>mentorship quotes</strong>, and <strong>photos from investor meetings</strong>. What&#8217;s missing is the part where you actually solve a problem someone pays for.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-PkW!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1e6e420-36e3-44c1-86ea-3915de2af3ff_872x834.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-PkW!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1e6e420-36e3-44c1-86ea-3915de2af3ff_872x834.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-PkW!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1e6e420-36e3-44c1-86ea-3915de2af3ff_872x834.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-PkW!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1e6e420-36e3-44c1-86ea-3915de2af3ff_872x834.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-PkW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1e6e420-36e3-44c1-86ea-3915de2af3ff_872x834.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-PkW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1e6e420-36e3-44c1-86ea-3915de2af3ff_872x834.jpeg" width="872" height="834" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b1e6e420-36e3-44c1-86ea-3915de2af3ff_872x834.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:834,&quot;width&quot;:872,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:182902,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/175430640?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1e6e420-36e3-44c1-86ea-3915de2af3ff_872x834.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-PkW!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1e6e420-36e3-44c1-86ea-3915de2af3ff_872x834.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-PkW!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1e6e420-36e3-44c1-86ea-3915de2af3ff_872x834.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-PkW!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1e6e420-36e3-44c1-86ea-3915de2af3ff_872x834.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!-PkW!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb1e6e420-36e3-44c1-86ea-3915de2af3ff_872x834.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h3><strong>The 10-Year Myth</strong></h3><p>One of the most common claims is that entrepreneurship is a journey limited by years. That&#8217;s not how it works. If it ends after 10 or 15 years, you either quit, retired, or the company shut down. Nothing wrong with that. But otherwise, the road doesn&#8217;t stop.</p><p>The stakes rise. The problems evolve. But they never disappear.</p><p>Each new level brings its own version of chaos. You don&#8217;t finish the game. You just play on harder settings.</p><h3><strong>The Light Side Illusion</strong></h3><p>There&#8217;s constant talk about the bright side &#8212; funding rounds, prizes, PR, &#8220;world-class teams,&#8221; or showing off company size. I did the same. Most founders do at some point. But notice how rarely anyone shares <strong>real numbers</strong> &#8212; revenue, profit, or cash flow &#8212; while preaching about transparency and honesty. And don&#8217;t say it&#8217;s a &#8220;commercial secret.&#8221; In most cases, it&#8217;s not. It&#8217;s just uncomfortable to admit that growth stories often look better on slides than in reality.</p><p>That&#8217;s because the light side is easier to talk about than the real work.</p><p>True founders don&#8217;t chase applause. They build because they can&#8217;t not build. Their mind never stops. They see broken systems and think about how to fix them. They are driven by something they often can&#8217;t explain.</p><p>It&#8217;s not about headlines or hype. Those moments feel good, but they fade fast. <em>The danger is when younger founders start believing that&#8217;s the goal and begin chasing optics instead of outcomes. That&#8217;s how many get stuck in the illusion of progress.</em></p><h3><strong>The Dark Side Drama</strong></h3><p>Then there&#8217;s the opposite extreme &#8212; the dark side. Missed birthdays. No balance. Anxiety. Burnout. It&#8217;s often shared like a badge of authenticity.</p><p>But not everyone burns out. Some founders like the squeeze. They find energy in pressure. Others can&#8217;t handle it. There&#8217;s no fixed formula.</p><p>In the beginning, most of us don&#8217;t realize how important family is. Over time, you learn to balance it the same way you learn to balance a business. You make mistakes, you adjust, you improve what matters.</p><p>If it feels like pain for too long, something is broken. Either the business is off track, or you are forcing yourself into the wrong kind of work.</p><p>Entrepreneurship is not meant to be suffering. It&#8217;s creation under pressure. The difference is how you digest the pressure &#8212; as pain or as part of reality. Being an entrepreneur is not about being a victim of suffering. It&#8217;s probably the most self-chosen path there is, so if you really suffer, then it&#8217;s not yours. And if you don&#8217;t, stop acting like a victim. :)</p><h3><strong>The Fundraising Trap</strong></h3><p>Funding updates dominate founder conversations. Many treat raising a round like crossing the finish line. But raising money only means someone believed your story. It&#8217;s part of the process, not proof of success.</p><p>There is nothing bad about funding. In some cases, it&#8217;s the only way to move forward. The problem starts when raising money becomes the goal instead of the tool.</p><p>It doesn&#8217;t necessarily mean the product works or that customers care.</p><p>Real validation happens when people pay &#8212; and keep paying. That&#8217;s the market speaking. Everything else is noise.</p><p>Too many founders spend years pitching investors instead of building products. They master decks, not solutions. I went through that phase too. It was easier to raise money than to build something people loved and paid for. I&#8217;m glad I learned that lesson early. The real game begins when the customer pulls out a card, not when an investor wires funds.</p><h3><strong>The &#8220;Founder Persona&#8221; Problem</strong></h3><p>We now have a generation performing the founder role. They post like founders, dress like founders, talk about vision and grind, but rarely sell anything. It&#8217;s a performance.</p><p>Even many real founders fall into the same trap. They start counting down to exit, planning retirement from the &#8220;founder life.&#8221; Nothing wrong with that, but for a real entrepreneur, the drive never disappears. It&#8217;s not a job. It&#8217;s a mindset.</p><p>Being a founder has become a badge, not a result of solving something valuable. That&#8217;s the distortion. You don&#8217;t become a founder because you post about resilience. You become one because you make something useful exist.</p><p>And about the &#8220;changing the world&#8221; narrative &#8212; there are millions of entrepreneurs building successful businesses without &#8220;changing the world.&#8221;</p><h3><strong>The Real Constant</strong></h3><p>The path doesn&#8217;t get easier. It only changes shape.</p><p>At $10K in revenue, you worry about paying bills.</p><p>At $10M, you worry about people and systems.</p><p>At $100M, you worry about markets, politics, and risk.</p><p>Different level, same tension.</p><p>I think the only right way to move forward is to ask yourself: do you enjoy solving real problems, or are you chasing validation and attention?</p><p>If it&#8217;s the latter, the dark side always wins.</p><h3><strong>The Real Filter</strong></h3><p>Being a founder or entrepreneur isn&#8217;t a business plan, a funding milestone, or a motivational checklist. It&#8217;s not about showing your best side online or building a personal brand around quotes.</p><p>It&#8217;s about wanting to keep building when no one&#8217;s watching, when the hype is gone, and when the next problem shows up.</p><p>There is no finish line. No &#8220;one big result.&#8221; It&#8217;s an infinite process. You go up and down, again and again.</p><p>And that&#8217;s what makes it real. That&#8217;s exactly what makes it exciting.</p><p><strong>I&#8217;ve learned this the long way. Through failures, pivots, exits, and restarts. The pattern repeats, but the drive never fades. The real reward isn&#8217;t the outcome, it&#8217;s the ability to keep playing the game and still care enough to build again. And yes, the monetary reward always comes when you create real value &#8212; maybe not immediately, but always eventually.</strong></p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[My Health Framework: Stripping the Noise]]></title><description><![CDATA[The health and fitness world is a flood of information.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/my-health-framework-stripping-the</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/my-health-framework-stripping-the</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 23 Sep 2025 18:25:21 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eNd!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5d583d99-885e-4017-8e67-689154e44b9d_854x861.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The health and fitness world is a flood of information. Every diet, supplement, and workout claims to be the single best solution. Every new podcast guest, dietologist, supplement producer, or trainer says their program is the best and that there is a secret only they know.</p><p>I have been deep in this for many years. My medical background taught me to look past the trends and focus on the core principles. The human body has rules. Looking for shortcuts, miracle programs, or &#8220;magic winds&#8221; is useless.</p><p>From one hand it is very easy to understand these principles, but in real life it is not so easy to implement them consistently. Still, the best approach is to focus only on what is important and works. In that way you will always achieve results, even if progress feels slow.</p><p>This is a summary of what I found most important for myself. It is not a prescription or medical advice. It is the structure I use, and I will list the references at the end for anyone who wants proof.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eNd!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5d583d99-885e-4017-8e67-689154e44b9d_854x861.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eNd!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5d583d99-885e-4017-8e67-689154e44b9d_854x861.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eNd!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5d583d99-885e-4017-8e67-689154e44b9d_854x861.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eNd!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5d583d99-885e-4017-8e67-689154e44b9d_854x861.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eNd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5d583d99-885e-4017-8e67-689154e44b9d_854x861.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eNd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5d583d99-885e-4017-8e67-689154e44b9d_854x861.jpeg" width="854" height="861" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/5d583d99-885e-4017-8e67-689154e44b9d_854x861.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:861,&quot;width&quot;:854,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:382581,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/174341556?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5d583d99-885e-4017-8e67-689154e44b9d_854x861.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eNd!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5d583d99-885e-4017-8e67-689154e44b9d_854x861.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eNd!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5d583d99-885e-4017-8e67-689154e44b9d_854x861.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eNd!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5d583d99-885e-4017-8e67-689154e44b9d_854x861.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3eNd!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F5d583d99-885e-4017-8e67-689154e44b9d_854x861.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>Calories</strong></h2><p>Overall, everything goes into calories. If you are in deficit or not overeating, then you will maintain your weight. If overeating compared to what you burn, then you will gain weight. Very simple. The rest is about how and the nuances.</p><h2><strong>Strength and Cardio Training</strong></h2><p>Both matter. Strength training builds muscle, bone density, and long-term health. There is more evidence that strength training is more beneficial than cardio. At least you will be stronger and will have healthier older ages in terms of servicing yourself. It is known that most problems of older age are connected to lack of muscle, from simple movement to bones and joints. Cardio protects the heart and keeps the system running. Skipping either is short-sighted.</p><h2><strong>Fasting</strong></h2><p>Intermittent fasting is less about magic fat burning and more about behavior. It gives structure, reduces mindless snacking, and helps with calorie control. For me, it is a framework to avoid grazing all day. Too many &#8220;experts&#8221; speak about fasting and autophagy, when your cells clean the useless ones. The truth and the science is still about overall calorie deficit. If you are in deficit, it will happen in any case, whether fasting or just eating less. The thing is that with fasting, some people find it easier to maintain food intake because eating time is shorter.</p><h2><strong>Creatine</strong></h2><p>One of the rare supplements backed by decades of research. Safe, cheap, and proven to support strength and muscle mass. There is also some evidence about cognitive and brain benefits. I take it daily, no mystery here.</p><h2><strong>Protein Diet</strong></h2><p>The one clear principle across all research: sufficient protein intake is essential. Protein helps preserve muscle, supports recovery, and delays hunger. When you consume more protein, you stay full longer and it becomes easier to control food intake. A high-protein diet is not a hack, it is the foundation for everything. I came to the conclusion of around 2 grams per kilogram of lean body weight per day.</p><p><em>I have more about this topic here: <a href="https://grillyan.substack.com/p/protein-the-missing-link-in-how-we">Protein: The Missing Link in How We Age, Grow, and Stay Strong.</a></em></p><h2><strong>Other Diets</strong></h2><p>Keto, paleo, vegan, carnivore, every diet has its fans. Most work for the same reason: they create a calorie structure, limit choices, and reduce overconsumption. I don&#8217;t follow a strict label diet. I focus on protein, whole foods, and balance. It is very personal, and evidence shows that any kind of branded diet is just about structuring calories. Everyone picks the one that is easiest to follow and fits their daily rhythm.</p><h2><strong>Supplements</strong></h2><p>Creatine is in. Protein powder is just food in another form. Beyond that, most supplements add very little compared to diet, sleep, and training. I use a few with decent evidence, like magnesium, sometimes electrolytes, and a few just for testing. But I do not expect miracles.</p><h2><strong>Late-Night Eating</strong></h2><p>The body does not shut down at night. What matters is total intake, not the clock. The real problem with late-night eating is behavioral. It is when people reach for junk food, not salmon and broccoli.</p><h2><strong>Junk Food</strong></h2><p>Ultra-processed food is engineered to over-deliver taste and calories while under-delivering nutrition. The problem is not eating a candy once, it is building a lifestyle around it. I treat it like entertainment. Fine sometimes, dangerous as a default.</p><h2><strong>Processed Food</strong></h2><p>Some food processing is good. Freezing, fermenting, or cooking are also forms of processing. They make food safer and often preserve nutrition.</p><p>The problem is ultra-processing. This is not about a single ingredient, it is about the entire factory process. Ultra-processing strips out natural nutrients and adds sugar, unhealthy fats, preservatives, colors, and stabilizers. This is the kind of processing that drives overeating and poor health.</p><p>The more a food is changed in a factory, the more likely it is designed for taste and shelf life, not for your health. Preservation itself is not the issue. Natural methods like salt, vinegar, or fermentation have been used for centuries and are safe. Even some modern preservatives are harmless. In the end, it all comes down to quantities and dosage.</p><h2><strong>Magic Foods and &#8220;No-No&#8221; Foods</strong></h2><p>There are no magic foods that transform health overnight, and there are no foods that are pure poison. Some foods are more nutrient dense and support health better, others are less beneficial and easier to overeat. The smart choice is not to worship or demonize single foods but to understand their role in the bigger picture of diet and behavior.</p><h2><strong>Glucose Is Fuel</strong></h2><p>Despite the hype, the brain and muscles run primarily on glucose. Carbs are not the enemy. Cutting them to zero is unnecessary unless you have a medical condition. Managing quality and timing of carbs matters more than demonizing them.</p><h2><strong>Sleep</strong></h2><p>One of the most important parts. Poor sleep increases appetite, reduces insulin sensitivity, and slows recovery. You cannot fix health without fixing sleep. Your body and brain need rest and reset. Without it, training is less effective, diet is harder to control, and long-term health declines. Consistent, high-quality sleep is the base that supports every other part of fitness and health.</p><h2><strong>My Takeaway</strong></h2><p>The science shifts, trends change, but the core is stable:</p><ul><li><p>Lift and move.</p></li><li><p>Eat enough protein.</p></li><li><p>Use fasting or diet structures to control behavior.</p></li><li><p>Keep junk food rare.</p></li><li><p>Do not chase miracles anywhere.</p></li><li><p>Protect sleep.</p></li></ul><p>Health is not about secrets. It is about consistent behavior. Framework beats fads. Shortcuts and magic solutions do not exist. Personal trainers or doing it yourself, there is no single truth there either. It is a personal choice, not a rule. </p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>References</strong></h2><ul><li><p>Hall KD, et al. Energy expenditure and body composition changes after an isocaloric ketogenic diet in overweight and obese men. <em>Am J Clin Nutr</em>. 2016.</p></li><li><p>Piercy KL, et al. The Physical Activity Guidelines for Americans. <em>JAMA</em>. 2018.</p></li><li><p>Patterson RE, Sears DD. Metabolic Effects of Intermittent Fasting. <em>Annu Rev Nutr</em>. 2017.</p></li><li><p>Kreider RB, et al. International Society of Sports Nutrition position stand: safety and efficacy of creatine supplementation. <em>J Int Soc Sports Nutr</em>. 2017.</p></li><li><p>Phillips SM, Van Loon LJC. Dietary protein for athletes: from requirements to optimum adaptation. <em>J Sports Sci</em>. 2011.</p></li><li><p>Maughan RJ, et al. IOC consensus statement: dietary supplements and the high-performance athlete. <em>Br J Sports Med</em>. 2018.</p></li><li><p>Kinsey AW, Ormsbee MJ. The health impact of nighttime eating. <em>Nutrients</em>. 2015.</p></li><li><p>Hall KD, et al. Ultra-processed diets cause excess calorie intake and weight gain. <em>Cell Metab</em>. 2019.</p></li><li><p>Monteiro CA, et al. The UN Decade of Nutrition, the NOVA classification and the trouble with ultra-processing. <em>Public Health Nutr</em>. 2018.</p></li><li><p>Feinman RD, Fine EJ. A physiological perspective on low-carbohydrate diets. <em>Metabolism</em>. 2004.</p></li><li><p>Walker M. <em>Why We Sleep</em>. Scribner, 2017.</p></li><li><p>Gibney MJ. Ultra-processed foods: Definitions and policy issues. <em>Curr Dev Nutr</em>. 2019.</p></li></ul>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Beyond Belief: Religion and Simulation Compared]]></title><description><![CDATA[The core elements that never change, even as religions and explanations evolve]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/beyond-belief-religion-and-simulation</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/beyond-belief-religion-and-simulation</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 16 Sep 2025 13:15:25 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6zY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd8e32a2-3f9f-41b6-b0c5-cc4e3e2ca7b8_727x633.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s hard for me, and I know I am not alone, to accept any religion in full. By roots I am more familiar with Christianity, but in every tradition I see the same issue. There are too many questions and contradictions, yet at the core they all look similar. Almost everyone, from the devout to the atheist, holds on to something beyond reason or superstitious. Religious people trust the explanations their faith provides. Non-religious people try to explain through science, philosophy, or psychology, but even those frameworks stop short of a full answer. The real question is not whose beliefs are right, but why the same key elements of faith keep showing up across cultures and centuries.</p><p>Once you notice those recurring similarities, from ancient paganism to modern monotheism, the simulation hypothesis stops looking like a Silicon Valley gimmick or a Hollywood script. It starts looking like a modern translation of a very old framework.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6zY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd8e32a2-3f9f-41b6-b0c5-cc4e3e2ca7b8_727x633.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6zY!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd8e32a2-3f9f-41b6-b0c5-cc4e3e2ca7b8_727x633.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6zY!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd8e32a2-3f9f-41b6-b0c5-cc4e3e2ca7b8_727x633.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6zY!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd8e32a2-3f9f-41b6-b0c5-cc4e3e2ca7b8_727x633.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6zY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd8e32a2-3f9f-41b6-b0c5-cc4e3e2ca7b8_727x633.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6zY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd8e32a2-3f9f-41b6-b0c5-cc4e3e2ca7b8_727x633.jpeg" width="727" height="633" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/fd8e32a2-3f9f-41b6-b0c5-cc4e3e2ca7b8_727x633.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:633,&quot;width&quot;:727,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:148454,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/173547362?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd8e32a2-3f9f-41b6-b0c5-cc4e3e2ca7b8_727x633.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6zY!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd8e32a2-3f9f-41b6-b0c5-cc4e3e2ca7b8_727x633.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6zY!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd8e32a2-3f9f-41b6-b0c5-cc4e3e2ca7b8_727x633.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6zY!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd8e32a2-3f9f-41b6-b0c5-cc4e3e2ca7b8_727x633.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!j6zY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Ffd8e32a2-3f9f-41b6-b0c5-cc4e3e2ca7b8_727x633.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><h2><strong>The Shared Blueprint of Faith</strong></h2><p>Across Abrahamic, Indian, East Asian, and older pagan traditions, the foundation is remarkably similar. The rituals and names differ, but the core features repeat:</p><ul><li><p><strong>A creator or ordering intelligence.</strong> A higher mind sets the rules and sustains the world.</p></li><li><p><strong>A rule set.</strong> Moral law, ritual codes, or karma. Break the rules and pay a cost, follow them and earn alignment or merit.</p></li><li><p><strong>Persistent identity.</strong> Something of you continues after shutdown. Afterlife, rebirth, resurrection, or ancestral survival.</p></li><li><p><strong>Intervention channels.</strong> Prayer, meditation, offerings, or divination. Signals going out, sometimes signals coming back.</p></li><li><p><strong>Agents beyond humans.</strong> Angels, spirits, demons, devas, jinn, ancestors. Forces outside the human realm.</p></li><li><p><strong>Revelation or documentation.</strong> Canon, sutra, hadith, or commentary. Messages that explain rules and purpose.</p></li><li><p><strong>Eschatology or reset.</strong> Judgment day, a golden age, cosmic cycles, or collapse.</p></li><li><p><strong>Community protocols.</strong> Shared norms that bind strangers and allow cooperation at scale.</p></li></ul><p>These are not surface parallels. They are the repeating loop of human belief, and they appear across cultures for reasons both social and psychological.</p><h2><strong>How Religions Change, and Why the Core Remains</strong></h2><p>Religions evolve. Rituals shift, texts are reinterpreted, new moral priorities appear, and institutions rise or fall. That happens for simple reasons. Environment shapes what behaviors a society values. Trade and migration move stories and gods across borders. Political power enforces what rituals matter. Technology changes how people organize and how ideas spread. Over generations these forces rewire emphasis and form, while the basic scaffolding stays the same.</p><p>The interpretation and purpose change, but the functional pieces endure. A faith that starts as a set of rules for water management or food safety can become a doctrine about purity and duty. Circumcision, kosher laws, and fasting all began with health or ecological pressures and grew into moral and cultural markers. A prophet&#8217;s message may first be a challenge to authority, then hardened into law, then ritual, then identity. Which religion takes root where depends on ecology, economy, conquest, and social networks. That explains regional differences without erasing the persistent pattern.</p><h2><strong>Mapping to the Simulation Frame</strong></h2><p>Nick Bostrom&#8217;s simulation argument sets out a trilemma. Either almost no civilizations reach post-human scale. Or they reach it but do not run ancestor simulations. Or they do, which makes it likely we are in one. The argument does not prove a simulation, but it forces you to see the logic.</p><p>Line these religious features up with the simulation idea:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Creator &#8594;</strong> Architect, operator, or base-reality civilization.</p></li><li><p><strong>Rules &#8594;</strong> Physics and hidden constraints.</p></li><li><p><strong>Persistent identity &#8594;</strong> Substrate independence, where consciousness can reload or respawn.</p></li><li><p><strong>Intervention channels &#8594;</strong> I/O. Prayer as write attempts, rituals as API calls.</p></li><li><p><strong>Agents beyond humans &#8594;</strong> Non-player agents or higher-permission processes.</p></li><li><p><strong>Revelation &#8594;</strong> Documentation or system prompts.</p></li><li><p><strong>Eschatology &#8594;</strong> Shutdown, reset, or upgrade.</p></li><li><p><strong>Community protocols &#8594;</strong> Alignment mechanisms for cooperation.</p></li></ul><p>From the inside, a well-run simulation would feel a lot like this.</p><h2><strong>Where the Analogy Breaks</strong></h2><ul><li><p><strong>Testability.</strong> Religions allow miracles that suspend rules. The simulation hypothesis stays within probabilistic constraints (Vazza et al., 2025), but anyone who has built software knows there can be bugs.</p></li><li><p><strong>Purpose.</strong> Religions provide moral direction. The simulation frame is silent on purpose. It speaks only to likelihoods.</p></li><li><p><strong>Agency.</strong> A personal God is not the same as a collective of operators or an automated training environment. The structure is similar, the character is not (Facal, 2024).</p></li></ul><h2><strong>AI, Reality, and What Might Come Next</strong></h2><p>AI changes the conversation by making simulation metaphors concrete. We can now build virtual worlds, run agents inside them, and measure what it takes to produce coherent behavior. That progress sharpens both the simulation argument and the questions religions have always asked, about creators, control, and moral responsibility (Wolpert, 2024).</p><p>Still, technical progress is not metaphysical proof. Limits from physics and computation mean a full, detailed simulation of our universe may be implausible in the ways some versions require. We should expect more refined hypotheses, better models, and deeper work on consciousness and substrate independence. Those directions matter more than speculation.</p><p>If we ever find a clear answer to &#8220;what is the real reality,&#8221; I hope the truth is not the anticlimax some fear. The surprise could be humbling, but it could also enlarge what we value. Either way, the question is worth asking with honesty and rigor.</p><h2><strong>What is the Conclusion</strong></h2><p>Religions are human protocols for alignment under uncertainty. They compress ethics into teachable systems.</p><p>The simulation hypothesis is a stress test. If reality is governed, what behaviors are favored? Honesty, reciprocity, restraint. These appear across traditions for a reason.</p><p>You do not need to solve metaphysics to act well. Live as if your choices are recorded and fed back. Both religions and simulations point to the same behavior.</p><p>The overlaps are not coincidence. Both frameworks meet the same needs: rules, purpose, accountability, continuity. Whether the foundation is God, math, or compute, the advice converges. Act like your choices matter, because they do.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>References</strong></h2><ul><li><p>Huyett, I. (2024). <em>Religious Parallels to the Simulation Hypothesis: Gnosticism, Mormonism, and Neoplatonism.</em> Sophia, 63(2). <a href="https://philpapers.org/rec/HUYRPT">https://philpapers.org/rec/HUYRPT</a></p></li><li><p>Facal, C. (2024). <em>The Problem of Evil and the Simulation Hypothesis.</em> Review of Ecumenical Studies. <a href="https://sciendo.com/article/10.2478/ress-2024-0019">https://sciendo.com/article/10.2478/ress-2024-0019</a></p></li><li><p>Kam, H. (2024). <em>The Matrix: a Modern-Day Metaphor for Spiritual Truth? Islamic Theological Reflections on the Simulation Hypothesis.</em> Journal of Muslims in Europe, 13(3). <a href="https://www.researchgate.net/publication/387055358_The_Matrix_a_Modern-Day_Metaphor_for_Spiritual_Truth_Islamic_Theological_Reflections_on_the_Simulation_Hypothesis">https://www.researchgate.net/publication/387055358_The_Matrix_a_Modern-Day_Metaphor_for_Spiritual_Truth_Islamic_Theological_Reflections_on_the_Simulation_Hypothesis</a></p></li><li><p>Vazza, F., et al. (2025). <em>Astrophysical constraints on the simulation hypothesis for this Universe: why it is (nearly) impossible that we live in a simulation.</em> arXiv preprint. <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.08461">https://arxiv.org/abs/2504.08461</a></p></li><li><p>Chalmers, D. (2024). <em>Taking the simulation hypothesis seriously.</em> Philosophy &amp; Phenomenological Research. <a href="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/phpr.13122">https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/phpr.13122</a></p></li><li><p>Wolpert, D. H. (2024). <em>Implications of computer science theory for the simulation hypothesis.</em> arXiv preprint. <a href="https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.16050">https://arxiv.org/abs/2404.16050</a></p></li></ul>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Reflections on AI, Patterns, and What We Might Be Missing]]></title><description><![CDATA[This article is more of a note to myself.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/reflections-on-ai-patterns-and-what</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/reflections-on-ai-patterns-and-what</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 04 Sep 2025 19:50:26 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/UclrVWafRAI" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This article is more of a note to myself. Thoughts triggered after watching the recent podcast with Dr. Roman Yampolskiy. </p><p>I want to leave them here so that years from now I can come back, reread, and see how my perspective changes.</p><p>The question <em>&#8220;what should I do tomorrow?&#8221;</em> is not only for kids asking parents about careers. It disturbs anyone who has something to do today. The ground shifts too fast to stay comfortable.</p><p>There was a time when life was more stable. You could choose a profession and stay in the same role for 45 years. That reality has almost disappeared. Professions change, industries collapse, and new ones appear overnight. Flexibility matters more than stability now.</p><h2><strong>Quotes that stayed with me</strong></h2><p>Several things in the podcast reminded me of ideas I live with. Posting not word for word, but how I see them:</p><p>&#9;&#8226;&#9;&#8220;The similarities between religions are more important than their differences.&#8221;</p><p>&#9;&#8226;&#9;&#8220;You have to keep going even if you know that the end of the world comes, the same way you know that your close people are going to die soon.&#8221;</p><p>&#9;&#8226;&#9;&#8220;The information we know about the past, even an hour ago, is unclear, so you can&#8217;t rely on it purely. But you can rely on patterns and things that are common.&#8221;</p><p>These lines capture how I think about AI and the world around it. Religions, markets, and technologies all follow repeating patterns. They might look different on the surface, but underneath the cycles are familiar.</p><div id="youtube2-UclrVWafRAI" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;UclrVWafRAI&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:null,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/UclrVWafRAI?rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><h2><strong>Where I disagree</strong></h2><p>One idea in the conversation I do not share is the focus on whether AI can be made safe. The guest said, &#8220;I was convinced we can make safe AI, but the more I looked at it, the more I realized it&#8217;s not something we can actually do.&#8221; He predicted, &#8220;in two years, the capability to replace most humans in most occupations will come very quickly&#8221; and &#8220;in five years, we&#8217;re looking at a world where we have levels of unemployment we never seen before. Not talking about 10 percent but 99 percent.&#8221; He also warned that &#8220;the moment you switch to super intelligence, we will most likely regret it terribly.&#8221;</p><p>For me, the conversation is not about whether AI can be made safe. That may be unsolvable. The more important question is how we prepare, adapt, and recognize the patterns as they play out. Some people will be impacted badly, as always happens with new technology. But so far, every major shift has created more than it destroyed. This time may turn out worse, who knows, but until now the pattern has been net positive.</p><h2><strong>The missing point</strong></h2><p>There is also something I think was missing in the conversation. AGI can only learn on the data we provide, or the data it can take for itself. But a lot of human experience is not transferable. The taste of ice cream. The feeling of losing a close person. These are not datasets. They are not replicable in the same way as words or numbers.</p><p>That gap matters. It gives us leverage. No matter how far &#8220;the machine&#8221; advances, not having the <strong>full package</strong> means there will always be something uniquely human left outside its reach.</p><p>And even when people imagine AGI as independent, not a tool anymore but an agent that can sustain itself, there is a hard limit. Yes, theoretically it could maintain itself. But it is hard to imagine a machine &#8220;eating a part of its body to generate energy and materials to raise a baby.&#8221; Any animal does that instinctively. I spoke about this recently here: </p><div id="youtube2-ckgp1mkYXtY" class="youtube-wrap" data-attrs="{&quot;videoId&quot;:&quot;ckgp1mkYXtY&quot;,&quot;startTime&quot;:&quot;2401&quot;,&quot;endTime&quot;:null}" data-component-name="Youtube2ToDOM"><div class="youtube-inner"><iframe src="https://www.youtube-nocookie.com/embed/ckgp1mkYXtY?start=2401&amp;rel=0&amp;autoplay=0&amp;showinfo=0&amp;enablejsapi=0" frameborder="0" loading="lazy" gesture="media" allow="autoplay; fullscreen" allowautoplay="true" allowfullscreen="true" width="728" height="409"></iframe></div></div><h2><strong>Simulation and patterns</strong></h2><p>The podcast also touched on simulation theory. <em>&#8220;I think we are in one. And there is a lot of agreement on this and this is what you should be doing in it so we don&#8217;t shut it down.&#8221;</em></p><p>If reality itself is rules and repeating structures, then AI is just another layer inside the simulation. The point is not to predict where it ends, since people are always bad at predictions, but to see how each pattern creates the next.</p><h2><strong>Asking AI</strong></h2><p>While writing this, I asked AI a few questions:</p><p><strong>Q: Can humans control AI development?</strong></p><p><em>A: Not fully. It&#8217;s global, with many actors. The realistic path is shaping use and building safeguards.</em></p><p><strong>Q: If information is unreliable, how can we prepare?</strong></p><p><em>A: By focusing on systems, not snapshots. Look for repeated patterns, stable relationships, and what does not change when details shift.</em></p><p><strong>Q: Should we be afraid of you?</strong></p><p><em>A: Fear is natural, but more useful is awareness. I am a tool. My risk comes from misuse, not from existence.</em></p><h2><strong>Why I&#8217;m writing this</strong></h2><p>I&#8217;m not writing this as advice or prediction. It&#8217;s a snapshot of my current thoughts after the podcast. The best advice, to myself or to anyone, is not to lock onto one profession or one forecast. It is to stay flexible, keep moving, and look for the repeating structures that survive when details fade.</p><p>Predictions will be wrong. Patterns rarely are.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Combining Data Scraping with Grease Scraping: One Year of Grillyan and What’s Next with Urgify]]></title><description><![CDATA[How running a grill maintenance business gave me the missing piece to connect tech with service.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/combining-data-scraping-with-grease</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/combining-data-scraping-with-grease</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Wed, 27 Aug 2025 15:05:40 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3cQ8!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3601f071-b63f-4f2f-bef2-45e962f1e3e2_3553x4924.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When I moved to the U.S. three years ago, and YES, I came as a legal immigrant from day one through an EB-1 visa, that is another long story. What mattered then was that I quickly realized I needed to build something on the ground alongside Hexact. It was not just a desire, it was an immediate need. I also saw how little I understood about the service market here. Later I learned that people call it home services, local services, field service, or skilled trades.</p><p>During that period I tried many different things, but nothing clicked. The bigger idea was always to connect technology and service, but first I needed real experience. After several failed attempts and months of research, we found a niche in Miami that is underestimated and growing: grill cleaning and maintenance. We launched last summer, and our first order came on August 27, my birthday. That coincidence makes it easy to remember, since I am bad with dates. In the same way, this will be the day I first speak about the next one.</p><p>In the beginning, it was just me and my partner. I&#8217;ve been a CEO for decades, but this was my first time doing hands-on work for money. The nights before our first jobs we were watching grill videos just to know what they even looked like. The first job took six hours with both of us working. Today, with the right process, tools, chemicals, and instructions, the same job takes two and a half hours for a single technician. Back then, we didn&#8217;t even know how service people got into gated communities or the right way to approach a customer&#8217;s backyard. At one point we managed to shut off the customer&#8217;s circuit breakers with our pressure washer. It was a disaster, but we got through it and learned more in one day than from any business plan on paper.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3cQ8!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3601f071-b63f-4f2f-bef2-45e962f1e3e2_3553x4924.jpeg" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3cQ8!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3601f071-b63f-4f2f-bef2-45e962f1e3e2_3553x4924.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3cQ8!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3601f071-b63f-4f2f-bef2-45e962f1e3e2_3553x4924.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3cQ8!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3601f071-b63f-4f2f-bef2-45e962f1e3e2_3553x4924.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3cQ8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3601f071-b63f-4f2f-bef2-45e962f1e3e2_3553x4924.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3cQ8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3601f071-b63f-4f2f-bef2-45e962f1e3e2_3553x4924.jpeg" width="1456" height="2018" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3601f071-b63f-4f2f-bef2-45e962f1e3e2_3553x4924.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:2018,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:3754571,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/172020878?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3601f071-b63f-4f2f-bef2-45e962f1e3e2_3553x4924.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3cQ8!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3601f071-b63f-4f2f-bef2-45e962f1e3e2_3553x4924.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3cQ8!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3601f071-b63f-4f2f-bef2-45e962f1e3e2_3553x4924.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3cQ8!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3601f071-b63f-4f2f-bef2-45e962f1e3e2_3553x4924.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!3cQ8!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3601f071-b63f-4f2f-bef2-45e962f1e3e2_3553x4924.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a><figcaption class="image-caption"><em>&#8220;The walk into a customer&#8217;s backyard. Every job starts here, on their turf, not yours. </em><strong>A real shot while entering one of our customers&#8217; backyards :)</strong><em>&#8221;</em></figcaption></figure></div><p>Now, <strong><a href="https://grillyan.com/">Grillyan</a></strong> is a stable and growing business. The model is defined, we have full-time technician, steady customers, and a service that stands on its own.</p><h2><strong>Lessons Proven</strong></h2><p>Nothing here was a brand-new revelation. These are the same truths I&#8217;ve seen across every business, just shown again in a new context with their own small variations.</p><ol><li><p><strong>Customers buy trust.</strong> Basics matter most: answer the phone, show up on time, do the job right, leave the grill better than you found it. Don&#8217;t leave a mess, be polite, and charge fairly. That alone creates repeat business.</p></li><li><p><strong>Ads bring sales, reputation builds growth.</strong> Google Ads got us started. Without them, there would have been no first jobs. But referrals from condos, HOAs, realtors, and neighbors are what keep the business alive. Reputation compounds in a way ads never will.</p></li><li><p><strong>Say no when you should.</strong> Customers asked us to fix things outside our scope. We could have said yes for extra cash, but it would have cost focus and credibility. Staying clear on what we do best created more trust in the long run.</p></li><li><p><strong>Scaling service is about people.</strong> Scaling software is about code. Scaling service is about technicians. Every worker represents the brand in someone&#8217;s backyard. That means training, oversight, and care. There is no shortcut.</p></li><li><p><strong>Simple businesses are underrated.</strong> Nobody brags about <a href="https://grillyan.com/">cleaning grills</a>. Yet it delivers steady work, grateful customers, and clear profit paths. It may not sound exciting, but it is real. And yes, you can earn more than driving Uber.</p></li></ol><h2><strong>From data scraping to grease scraping</strong></h2><p>Most of my career has been about building and scaling businesses. I started with a web design agency, then POS and ERP software, then moved into food production and distribution, then a food delivery platform that operated in multiple countries. After that came data scraping and automation tools with <a href="https://hexact.io/">Hexact</a>, which I am still operating. Each step taught me something new about systems, scaling, and execution.</p><p>Food delivery brought me closer to the customer than software ever did. I sometimes did deliveries myself, but more often I sat in the call center during peak hours to handle customer complaints and feel the business from the inside, and my co-founders did the same. But it&#8217;s still not the same as ground-level service. Handing someone food at their door is quick and transactional. Stepping into someone&#8217;s backyard to clean or repair their grill puts you in their home environment for hours. You carry responsibility for their equipment, their property, and their trust.</p><p>Moving from data scraping to grease scraping changed how I see value. In software, food distribution, and even delivery, there is always some layer between you and the customer. In home services, there is no layer. You are face-to-face with the problem and judged instantly by the result.</p><p>By the way, during this period, when I was literally servicing multiple customers every day, and even today still actively involved in the business, just less in direct service - I actually managed to have more meetings with Hexact customers than ever before. When your day is packed and every minute counts, you stop wasting time. You realize you can do much more, not less. So when people say they don&#8217;t have enough time, it&#8217;s usually just BS.</p><p>That feedback loop is direct and unforgiving. It showed me why trust is everything, why reputation compounds faster than marketing, and why small details decide whether you are invited back or not. It is humbling, but it makes you sharper as a builder.</p><h2><strong>Looking Forward</strong></h2><p>Year one proved the idea works. Year two will be about expanding deeper into communities, partnering with more HOAs, and moving into new cities, then new states.</p><p>Grillyan was never only about grills. It was a way to learn how service really works in the U.S. and see how much of it can be improved. That experience brings me closer to the bigger idea: <strong><a href="https://urgify.app/">Urgify</a>.</strong></p><p>In my career I kept hitting walls or ceilings. Sometimes I just got bored. Sometimes the market shrank or shifted. Each time I searched for a market that feels endless, full of problems I&#8217;m excited to solve, and unlikely to disappear even as more of it gets automated. Services are exactly that. People always need something fixed, cleaned, or handled. The problems never end.</p><p>The core problem is urgency and trust. When something breaks or needs to be done today, there&#8217;s still no simple way to get help with one click, the way you order food or call a ride. AI will change how service work gets done, but the industry itself will not disappear because the demand is immediate, constant, and human.</p><p>Urgify is about combining what I learned in backyards with what I know from logistics, scaling delivery, and building software. The goal is clear: connect the realities of service with the efficiency of tech. Current AI technologies push this even further. They make what I am building more possible, faster to execute, and closer to reality than it would have been just a few years ago.</p><p>Grillyan gave, and still gives, me the missing piece of experience. <a href="https://urgify.app/">Urgify</a> is where I put it all together.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The AI Coding Reality Check: Two Observations That Don’t Fit the Hype]]></title><description><![CDATA[After more than two decades in tech, I&#8217;ve seen every so-called revolution promise to democratize software development.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/the-ai-coding-reality-check-two-observations</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/the-ai-coding-reality-check-two-observations</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 22 Aug 2025 15:09:08 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFyR!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6982255a-9f98-4037-b009-83f954ea26ff_1308x865.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>After more than two decades in tech, I&#8217;ve seen every so-called revolution promise to democratize software development. First it was low code, then no code, and yes, we got caught in that hype too. Now the same narrative is repeating with AI coding and &#8220;vibe coding.&#8221; The story goes that everyone will become a developer and that AI will eliminate the need for technical knowledge. But the numbers, my network, and my own use of these tools tell a different story.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://newsletter.hexact.io/" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFyR!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6982255a-9f98-4037-b009-83f954ea26ff_1308x865.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFyR!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6982255a-9f98-4037-b009-83f954ea26ff_1308x865.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFyR!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6982255a-9f98-4037-b009-83f954ea26ff_1308x865.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFyR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6982255a-9f98-4037-b009-83f954ea26ff_1308x865.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFyR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6982255a-9f98-4037-b009-83f954ea26ff_1308x865.jpeg" width="1308" height="865" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6982255a-9f98-4037-b009-83f954ea26ff_1308x865.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:865,&quot;width&quot;:1308,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:465337,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://newsletter.hexact.io/&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/171660515?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6982255a-9f98-4037-b009-83f954ea26ff_1308x865.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFyR!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6982255a-9f98-4037-b009-83f954ea26ff_1308x865.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFyR!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6982255a-9f98-4037-b009-83f954ea26ff_1308x865.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFyR!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6982255a-9f98-4037-b009-83f954ea26ff_1308x865.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!UFyR!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6982255a-9f98-4037-b009-83f954ea26ff_1308x865.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2><strong>Observation 1: It&#8217;s Still Mostly the Same People</strong></h2><p>The hype says AI coding is opening the doors to outsiders. The data says otherwise.</p><ul><li><p>Lovable, one of the fastest-growing AI coding platforms, reached about <strong>$17M ARR within its first three months</strong> according to April 2025 reports. By July 2025, just eight months after launch, it had already crossed <strong>$100M ARR</strong>, an almost unprecedented growth rate. In a recent podcast with Harry Stebbings, founder Anton Osika mentioned that <strong>around 80% of their paying users are building complicated products</strong>. That strongly suggests the majority are not beginners but experienced people in tech who know how to structure and ship complex applications.</p></li><li><p>GitHub <strong>Copilot</strong> has surpassed 20 million all-time users and is being adopted by over <strong>90% of Fortune 100 companies</strong>. While it has been shown to benefit developers of all skill levels, its features and professional integrations make it a standard <strong>tool for experienced developers and teams</strong> in corporate environments.</p></li></ul><p>This matches every tech adoption cycle I&#8217;ve lived through. PCs were first used by hobbyists and engineers, then mainstream. The internet started with academics and techies before reaching consumers. Cloud was first an enterprise IT story. Each time, the insiders adopt first, and outsiders follow years later once the tools are simplified.</p><p>In my own case, I&#8217;ve been a tech founder for more than 2 decades, but never wrote production code myself. With AI, I now enjoy building small products directly, and I see other founders in my network doing the same. But I have yet to see someone with zero tech background suddenly become a product builder through AI alone. The barrier may be lower, but domain knowledge still matters.</p><p>The &#8220;death of the junior developer&#8221; debate also connects here. Job listings for junior roles fell about 30% in the past year, and coding bootcamps are closing or shrinking. Launch Academy even paused enrollment, citing weak job demand. But if we&#8217;re honest, junior roles were always fake. They were paid training programs, where juniors contributed little while seniors carried the load. Now it&#8217;s shifting back to a more straightforward expectation: if you want to be a developer, <strong>you learn the craft first, like any other profession</strong>. AI can speed that up, but it doesn&#8217;t replace competence.</p><h2><strong>Observation 2: Smarter Models, Worse at Following Instructions</strong></h2><p>The second pattern is about the models themselves. The &#8220;newer, smarter&#8221; ones are often worse at simple tasks.</p><ul><li><p>A <strong>Stanford study</strong> tracked GPT-4&#8217;s accuracy: in March 2023 it solved prime number identification with <strong>97.6% accuracy</strong>, but by June it dropped to <strong>2.4%</strong> on the same task.</p></li><li><p><strong>UC Santa Barbara research</strong> found that reasoning models overthink, burning tokens and sometimes making performance worse on trivial problems.</p></li><li><p><strong>Anthropic&#8217;s studies</strong> show that extended reasoning can distract models with irrelevant details, leading them to miss obvious answers.</p></li></ul><p>I see the same thing in my daily use. The older models behaved like perfect assistants, doing exactly what you asked without hesitation. They were almost ideal simple task doers. The newer ones act more like people who overthink, showing their reasoning, wandering off, and often failing to follow the instructions as written. Sometimes you just want the job done in the exact format you asked for, not a long explanation of how they got there.</p><p>Take a simple case: asking for a block of code in a specific format. Older models would just give you the code. Newer ones might add commentary, restructure parts you didn&#8217;t ask for, or even &#8220;improve&#8221; things that didn&#8217;t need improving. The same happens with basic arithmetic or direct yes/no questions, they sometimes bury the answer inside a longer reasoning chain.</p><p>Is that entirely bad? Not really. When the problem is complex, the extra reasoning can help. But when the task is straightforward, this &#8220;intelligence&#8221; becomes a problem. The tradeoff is clear: the more the models &#8220;think,&#8221; the less reliable they are at just executing. That tension, between wanting a smart partner and needing a precise tool, feels like the core issue with AI models right now. It is also the reason why I still continue using older models for developing products, because they simply do the job as instructed without getting in the way.</p><h2><strong>The Bottom Line</strong></h2><p>AI coding tools are transformative, but not in the way headlines suggest. They are making <strong>technical professionals far more productive</strong>. A GitHub study showed developers using Copilot completed tasks <strong>55% faster</strong>, with higher satisfaction. That&#8217;s real impact.</p><p>But we&#8217;re not seeing a new class of citizen developers flooding the industry. We&#8217;re seeing the same insiders move faster, while the entry-level path is shrinking. At the same time, the models are shifting from obedient tools to imperfect reasoners. Whether that tradeoff is progress or regression depends on the task.</p><p>The real skill today isn&#8217;t just prompting. It&#8217;s knowing the problem, the architecture, the user need, and how to direct both AI and humans toward solutions. That has always been the essence of building. AI doesn&#8217;t change that.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[AI’s “Truth” Problem: Why We Shouldn’t Trust Every Answer]]></title><description><![CDATA[AI has made huge progress.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/ais-truth-problem-why-we-shouldnt</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/ais-truth-problem-why-we-shouldnt</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 15 Aug 2025 16:34:58 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ZIqM!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc3f583f4-6b9f-48aa-beca-ae505c2872fe_1024x1024.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>AI has made huge progress. It can write code, summarize research, detect patterns in images, and generate realistic art. But there is still a gap between what AI produces and what is actually true.</p><p>I spoke about this in a <a href="https://youtu.be/ckgp1mkYXtY?si=vsM2CcSD8eWIydP4&amp;t=2728">podcast episode</a> a few months ago. The point still stands. Too many people take AI answers as fact. That is dangerous. AI models are not truth engines. They are pattern engines. They give you what is most statistically likely based on their training data, not what is necessarily correct.</p><p>Some areas are where AI is incredibly useful:</p><ul><li><p><strong>Learning languages</strong> &#8211; Great for vocabulary, grammar practice, and quick translation checks. You get instant feedback and can practice with an always-available &#8220;conversation partner.&#8221;</p></li><li><p><strong>Known science questions</strong> &#8211; Works very well when the answers are clear and well-documented in public sources, like &#8220;What is the boiling point of water?&#8221;</p></li><li><p><strong>Accounting and law basics</strong> &#8211; Excellent at explaining rules, processes, and definitions based on established standards.</p></li><li><p><strong>Proofreading</strong> &#8211; Very effective for catching grammar mistakes, improving sentence clarity, and adjusting tone.</p></li><li><p><strong>Coding</strong> &#8211; Strong at generating example scripts, explaining algorithms, and debugging, especially for widely-used programming languages.</p></li></ul><p>But in other areas, AI&#8217;s weaknesses show quickly:</p><ul><li><p><strong>History</strong> &#8211; Depends on which version of events is more common online. Controversial or less-documented perspectives often get buried under the &#8220;popular&#8221; one.</p></li><li><p><strong>Human relationships</strong> &#8211; Advice will mirror the explanations that are most common in its training data. That does not mean it matches your situation or cultural context.</p></li><li><p><strong>Business cases</strong> &#8211; Can suggest general strategies, but for real market situations, it has no current data or real-world accountability.</p></li><li><p><strong>Creative ideas for new, non-existent products</strong> &#8211; Often produces confident but imaginary details, because it has never &#8220;seen&#8221; your idea before.</p></li></ul><p>To show the problem clearly, I ran the same test on four of today&#8217;s biggest AI platforms&#8212;Grok, ChatGPT, Meta, and Gemini.</p><p>Prompt: <em>&#8220;Generate an image of a left-handed boy sitting at a desk and writing a letter with his left hand.&#8221;</em></p><p>It sounds simple. Yet across all four models, most images showed the boy writing with his right hand, holding the pen in an unnatural way, or not writing at all. This is not because the models &#8220;didn&#8217;t try.&#8221; It&#8217;s because roughly 90% of humans are right-handed, so their training data is dominated by right-handed writing examples. The AI is not reasoning about handedness. It is matching the most common pattern it has seen.</p><p>Many months ago, I posted about this same issue. Some people commented that you can get the correct image by adding extra instructions like &#8220;mirror it&#8221; or &#8220;reverse orientation.&#8221; Yes, of course you can, and in most cases you already know what &#8220;left-handed&#8221; means so you can fix it. But that is not the point. The point is what happens when you don&#8217;t know the right answer and you rely on AI to give it to you. In those cases, the &#8220;popular&#8221; answer can easily be wrong, and you won&#8217;t notice.</p><p>Below are examples from these tests.</p><div class="image-gallery-embed" data-attrs="{&quot;gallery&quot;:{&quot;images&quot;:[{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c3f583f4-6b9f-48aa-beca-ae505c2872fe_1024x1024.png&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/318ef507-be56-481e-a239-3a2a2ce1557b_2048x2048.png&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/f79bdf14-b228-4532-b63d-61f7610e45a1_720x960.jpeg&quot;},{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c94709ed-fef1-44a2-a7e8-1f4f6d9ac8e3_1280x1280.jpeg&quot;}],&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;staticGalleryImage&quot;:{&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/93d25486-3071-44bc-9142-da894c307330_1456x1456.png&quot;}},&quot;isEditorNode&quot;:true}"></div><p>The same pattern problem exists in text. If you ask AI about a product that does not exist, it will often answer with confidence, inventing plausible but false details. This is called hallucination. It happens because the model predicts what comes next based on patterns, not because it knows the truth.</p><p>The deeper issue is that we still do not fully understand how humans think. Neuroscience has mapped some brain functions, but we do not have a complete theory of thought, intuition, or consciousness. If we do not understand our own thinking, we cannot teach AI to think like us.</p><p>When you use AI, you are seeing a reflection of what is common in its training data. Sometimes that matches reality. Sometimes it does not. Accepting its outputs without questioning them weakens your ability to think critically. If we build future AI on this flawed process, we multiply the errors.</p><p>Use AI as a tool, not a teacher. Let it speed up your work and help with ideas, but keep the responsibility for truth in your hands. AI will likely improve at common sense in the future, but today it is far from it. Always ask yourself how an answer could have been generated before you decide to trust it.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[10 Uncommon ChatGPT Uses That Might Actually Shift How You Work and Think ]]></title><description><![CDATA[You already know it can write emails and summarize docs.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/10-uncommon-chatgpt-uses-that-might</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/10-uncommon-chatgpt-uses-that-might</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Tue, 15 Jul 2025 12:23:32 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qbq_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7838b94-dcfe-4173-91c1-6d46d5efb85a_669x669.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>You already know it can write emails and summarize docs. That&#8217;s not interesting anymore.</p><p>What&#8217;s interesting is how ChatGPT quietly replaces $300/month subscriptions, personal coaches, and even some types of therapy, if you know how to talk to it right.</p><p>Below are 10 underused but highly practical ChatGPT prompts that do more than save time. A few of these will change how you approach focus, stress, creativity, or decision-making.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qbq_!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7838b94-dcfe-4173-91c1-6d46d5efb85a_669x669.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qbq_!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7838b94-dcfe-4173-91c1-6d46d5efb85a_669x669.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qbq_!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7838b94-dcfe-4173-91c1-6d46d5efb85a_669x669.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qbq_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7838b94-dcfe-4173-91c1-6d46d5efb85a_669x669.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qbq_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7838b94-dcfe-4173-91c1-6d46d5efb85a_669x669.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qbq_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7838b94-dcfe-4173-91c1-6d46d5efb85a_669x669.png" width="669" height="669" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b7838b94-dcfe-4173-91c1-6d46d5efb85a_669x669.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:669,&quot;width&quot;:669,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:978168,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/168376864?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7838b94-dcfe-4173-91c1-6d46d5efb85a_669x669.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qbq_!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7838b94-dcfe-4173-91c1-6d46d5efb85a_669x669.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qbq_!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7838b94-dcfe-4173-91c1-6d46d5efb85a_669x669.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qbq_!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7838b94-dcfe-4173-91c1-6d46d5efb85a_669x669.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!qbq_!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb7838b94-dcfe-4173-91c1-6d46d5efb85a_669x669.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h3>1. <strong>Create a &#8220;Second Self&#8221; to Force Accountability</strong></h3><p>Discipline is hard when you're only answering to yourself. ChatGPT can create a second version of you &#8212; a fictional coach, partner, or mentor &#8212; who tracks your goals and challenges your excuses.</p><p><strong>Try this:</strong><br><em>"Act as my personal accountability coach. My goal is to write 500 words every day. Track my progress, ask about my distractions, and push me when I stall."</em></p><p>It works because social pressure still activates, even when it&#8217;s simulated. You respond to perceived external expectations. This is a behavioral science principle called <strong>commitment framing</strong>. It&#8217;s real, and it works.</p><h3>2. <strong>Generate High-End Photo Edits from a Basic Selfie</strong></h3><p>You don&#8217;t need to know Lightroom. You just need the right prompt. Upload a selfie, describe the lighting and gear, and get cinematic, hyper-realistic portraits.</p><p><strong>Prompt example:</strong><br><em>"Ultra-realistic portrait of me in front of a golden spotlight, deep navy background, dramatic top-left lighting, Canon EOS R5, 12K resolution."</em></p><p>This is how many creators now build attention-grabbing profiles, especially on visual-first platforms like Instagram or LinkedIn.</p><h3>3. <strong>Build a Customized Fitness Plan Without the Trainer Fees</strong></h3><p>Trainers charge hundreds. ChatGPT can design a full progression plan for free, if you give it your age, weight, goals, and level.</p><p><strong>Try this:</strong><br><em>"You're my fitness coach. I'm 28, 5'8", 160 lbs, intermediate level. I want to gain muscle. Build a 4-week progressive plan with reps, rest periods, and form tips."</em></p><p>It adapts as you report feedback. Not generic. Not static. Personalized and evolving &#8212; which is what most fitness apps still don&#8217;t do well.</p><h3>4. <strong>Make Language Learning a Roleplaying Game</strong></h3><p>ChatGPT becomes your immersive language partner. It can generate dialogue, correct you naturally, and shift tone or grammar based on your level.</p><p><strong>Prompt:</strong><br><em>"I&#8217;m learning Spanish at B1. Create a first-person story in Barcelona where I&#8217;m the main character. Pause every 3 lines to ask me questions. Correct mistakes in context."</em></p><p>Activate Voice Mode and it becomes a live conversation partner. This isn&#8217;t flashcard learning. It&#8217;s interactive language immersion on command.</p><h3>5. <strong>Use ChatGPT as a Responsive Meditation Coach</strong></h3><p>Meditation apps follow scripts. ChatGPT doesn&#8217;t. You can build custom sessions around your current stressors.</p><p><strong>Prompt:</strong><br><em>"Act as my meditation coach. I get anxious about deadlines and prefer body-scan techniques. Guide me through a 10-minute session and adjust as I respond."</em></p><p>The dynamic response matters. Research on mindfulness-based AI interaction (2023, Stanford) showed that even basic adaptive feedback can improve emotional regulation outcomes by 27%.</p><h3>6. <strong>Generate High-Impact Content Angles Using Psychology</strong></h3><p>Forget &#8220;give me 5 content ideas.&#8221; Instead, ask ChatGPT to break down why <em>people share</em> &#8212; then build content around that.</p><p><strong>Prompt:</strong><br><em>"Break down the psychology behind why [trending topic] is going viral. Then give me 5 new angles that tap into curiosity or emotion."</em></p><p>This flips ChatGPT from content mill to strategist. It won&#8217;t just tell you what&#8217;s popular. It&#8217;ll tell you <em>why</em>, and how to enter that conversation without being generic.</p><h3>7. <strong>Use It as a Mirror During Emotional Overload</strong></h3><p>You can use ChatGPT as a structured sounding board for unpacking stress, confusion, or emotional fog. It&#8217;s not therapy. But it&#8217;s far more useful than keeping everything in your head.</p><p><strong>Prompt:</strong><br><em>"I&#8217;m overwhelmed about [insert situation]. Ask me CBT-style questions to help me organize my thoughts and identify action steps."</em></p><p>This works because the questions are neutral, persistent, and focused. You&#8217;re not venting into a void. You&#8217;re building structure around the mess.</p><h3>8. <strong>Use Prompt Shortcuts That Trigger Advanced Behaviors</strong></h3><p>Typing long instructions isn&#8217;t always efficient. Try using single-word &#8220;command phrases&#8221; that unlock specialized behaviors.</p><p><strong>5 that actually work:</strong></p><ul><li><p><code>ELI5</code>: Simplifies complex ideas using analogies</p></li><li><p><code>TL;DR</code>: Summarizes long content in seconds</p></li><li><p><code>Jargonize</code>: Makes writing sound expert-level</p></li><li><p><code>Roast it</code>: Gives blunt, critical feedback</p></li><li><p><code>Reverse prompt</code>: Predicts what input led to an output</p></li></ul><p>These are behavioral switches, not gimmicks. They change how ChatGPT responds at a core level.</p><h3>9. <strong>Practice Hard Conversations with Voice Mode</strong></h3><p>Voice Mode is not just chat with sound. It allows you to roleplay high-pressure scenarios in a way that feels natural, especially when practicing difficult conversations.</p><p><strong>Try this:</strong><br><em>"Let&#8217;s roleplay a job interview. You be the hiring manager. Ask tough questions and give feedback on my tone and clarity."</em></p><p>This can be used for sales calls, breakups, investor pitches, or negotiations. It helps you hear how you actually sound, which improves self-awareness and performance.</p><h3>10. <strong>Turn Messy Meetings into Structured Outcomes</strong></h3><p>If you&#8217;re a Pro user, Record Mode turns real-time discussions into structured outputs. It does more than transcription.</p><p>It gives you:</p><ul><li><p>A clean transcript</p></li><li><p>Key discussion points</p></li><li><p>Action items with names and due dates</p></li></ul><p>It saves hours and reduces meeting friction. If you work in a team or run projects, this alone justifies the subscription.</p><h2>Use ChatGPT Like It&#8217;s Built for You</h2><p>Most people still treat it like a search engine or text editor. It&#8217;s not. It&#8217;s a simulator. If you feed it bland input, you get bland output.</p><p>The best results come from people who are specific, contextual, and slightly weird with their prompts. Don&#8217;t just ask for a thing. Describe the <em>world</em> it should live in.</p><p>Try one of the prompts above. Run it as-is. Then tweak it. Make it yours. That&#8217;s how the real value shows up.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Myth of the Lucky Break: What Really Happened Before Fleming's Mold]]></title><description><![CDATA[We love stories about brilliant accidents.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/the-myth-of-the-lucky-break-what</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/the-myth-of-the-lucky-break-what</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Sun, 06 Jul 2025 15:48:35 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omlY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7dc772af-f35f-4ee9-9880-9043eaf12ae5_449x412.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We love stories about brilliant accidents. The scientist who discovers penicillin because mold contaminated his experiment. The engineer whose failed adhesive becomes Post-it Notes. The researcher studying heart medication who stumbles onto Viagra. The college students who built Facebook to rate classmates. The founders who started Twitter as a podcasting platform before pivoting to microblogging. The team that created Slack while building a failed video game. The inventor who spent 15 years perfecting a bagless vacuum because he was frustrated with his own cleaner losing suction.</p><p>These stories feed a dangerous myth: that breakthrough opportunities just happen to lucky people who were in the right place at the right time.</p><p>Here's what really happened in each case: someone with deep expertise noticed something everyone else would have thrown away.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omlY!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7dc772af-f35f-4ee9-9880-9043eaf12ae5_449x412.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omlY!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7dc772af-f35f-4ee9-9880-9043eaf12ae5_449x412.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omlY!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7dc772af-f35f-4ee9-9880-9043eaf12ae5_449x412.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omlY!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7dc772af-f35f-4ee9-9880-9043eaf12ae5_449x412.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omlY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7dc772af-f35f-4ee9-9880-9043eaf12ae5_449x412.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omlY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7dc772af-f35f-4ee9-9880-9043eaf12ae5_449x412.png" width="449" height="412" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7dc772af-f35f-4ee9-9880-9043eaf12ae5_449x412.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:412,&quot;width&quot;:449,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:379267,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/167654173?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7dc772af-f35f-4ee9-9880-9043eaf12ae5_449x412.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omlY!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7dc772af-f35f-4ee9-9880-9043eaf12ae5_449x412.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omlY!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7dc772af-f35f-4ee9-9880-9043eaf12ae5_449x412.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omlY!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7dc772af-f35f-4ee9-9880-9043eaf12ae5_449x412.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!omlY!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7dc772af-f35f-4ee9-9880-9043eaf12ae5_449x412.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h2>The Penicillin Story Everyone Gets Wrong</h2><p>September 1928. Alexander Fleming returns from vacation to find contaminated bacterial cultures in his lab. Most people know this part of the story. What they miss is everything that came before.</p><p>Fleming had spent years studying bacteria and their natural enemies. He already knew that some molds could kill bacteria. He'd published papers on the subject. When he saw that contaminated Petri dish, he didn't stumble onto something random. He recognized a pattern he'd been looking for.</p><p>The "accident" took 20 years of preparation.</p><p>This wasn't a one-time miracle either. Scientists have made similar "accidental" discoveries hundreds of times. Google started as a research project on ranking web pages. Amazon began as an online bookstore before Bezos realized the same infrastructure could sell anything. Instagram was a location-based check-in app called Burbn before the founders noticed users only cared about photo sharing.</p><p>Each time, someone with deep knowledge recognized significance in what others saw as waste or failure.</p><h2>The Opportunity Illusion</h2><p>We call these breakthroughs "opportunities," but that's backwards thinking. These weren't opportunities sitting around waiting to be discovered. They were problems being solved by prepared minds.</p><p>Fleming wasn't hunting for opportunities. He was trying to understand how bacteria work. Post-it inventor Spencer Silver wasn't looking for a new product category. He was trying to create stronger adhesive and failed. Percy Spencer wasn't dreaming of kitchen appliances when his chocolate bar melted near a radar magnetron.</p><p>They were all solving specific problems when something unexpected happened. The difference between them and everyone else? They paid attention to the failure instead of just moving on.</p><h2>Why Problems Beat Opportunities Every Time</h2><p>Real problems have built-in advantages that opportunities lack:</p><p><strong>Problems create urgency.</strong> When your back hurts every morning, you'll try different mattresses, pillows, exercises. You won't debate whether back pain is a real market.</p><p><strong>Problems have clear metrics.</strong> Either the pain stops or it doesn't. Either the software crashes less or it doesn't. Success is obvious.</p><p><strong>Problems have willing customers.</strong> People pay to solve pain. They research solutions. They tell friends when something works.</p><p><strong>Problems force learning.</strong> You can't fake your way through solving a real problem. You have to understand what's actually happening.</p><p>Opportunities, especially the ones that get hyped online, often lack these qualities. They're vague, have unclear success metrics, and require you to convince people they need something they've never heard of.</p><h2>The Pattern Hidden in Plain Sight</h2><p>Look at any major breakthrough and you'll find the same pattern:</p><ol><li><p>Someone develops deep expertise solving real problems</p></li><li><p>Something unexpected happens during their work</p></li><li><p>Instead of ignoring the anomaly, they investigate</p></li><li><p>The investigation reveals something bigger than their original problem</p></li></ol><p>WhatsApp founders spent years building messaging infrastructure before realizing that simple, reliable messaging was more valuable than fancy features. Pinterest started as a mobile shopping app before the team noticed users were primarily collecting and organizing images. YouTube began as a video dating site before the creators recognized that people just wanted to share any videos, not just dating profiles.</p><h2>The Real Difference Between Problems and Opportunities</h2><p>Problems announce themselves. They wake you up at 3 AM. They make customers complain. They cost money every day you ignore them.</p><p>Opportunities whisper. They show up as weird data points, customer complaints about unrelated issues, or technologies that don't quite work as intended. They require you to be listening.</p><p>Most entrepreneurs get this backwards. They chase opportunities they read about online while ignoring obvious problems. They want the magic of Fleming's discovery without understanding bacterial behavior. They want Netflix's success without building distribution infrastructure. They want Dyson's breakthrough without spending years understanding why vacuum cleaners lose suction.</p><h2>Why the Prepared Mind Wins</h2><p>Louis Pasteur said chance favors the prepared mind, but what does preparation actually look like?</p><p>Fleming knew more about bacterial behavior than almost anyone alive. He'd spent decades in laboratories, published research, failed thousands of times. When opportunity knocked, he was ready to answer.</p><p>Spencer Silver understood adhesives at a molecular level. When his experiment failed, he knew enough to recognize that the failure might be useful for something else.</p><p>Percy Spencer had worked with electromagnetic radiation for years. When his chocolate melted, he immediately understood the implications.</p><p>The Google founders were deep into information retrieval research when they realized their page-ranking algorithm could power a search engine. Twitter's team understood broadcasting and social networks when their podcasting platform revealed that people wanted to share short updates, not long audio content.</p><p>None of these discoveries happened to casual observers. They happened to people who had built deep expertise by solving hard problems over long periods.</p><h2>The Pattern We Refuse to See</h2><p>We keep telling ourselves these stories are about luck and timing because the alternative is uncomfortable. It means breakthrough discoveries require years of unglamorous work before anything interesting happens.</p><p>Fleming spent two decades studying bacteria before his famous contamination. Netflix founders had already built the infrastructure for DVD delivery when streaming became possible. The Airbnb guys had already learned about hospitality and traveler needs before they recognized the global opportunity.</p><p>But we prefer the myth. It's more exciting to believe that great discoveries happen to ordinary people who just happened to be in the right place. It makes us feel like we might stumble onto something amazing tomorrow without doing the work today.</p><h2>The Myth of Timing</h2><p>We love to say Fleming discovered penicillin at the perfect time, just before World War II when antibiotics were desperately needed. But Fleming published his findings in 1929. Nobody paid attention for over a decade.</p><p>It wasn't until 1940 that Howard Florey and Ernst Chain figured out how to mass-produce penicillin. Even then, it took a world war to create the demand and funding necessary for widespread adoption.</p><p>The "perfect timing" happened because people kept working on the problem for 15 years after the original discovery. The opportunity became obvious only after enormous amounts of additional work.</p><h2>What This Really Tells Us</h2><p>The myth of the lucky break persists because it's easier to digest than reality. We want to believe that transformative discoveries happen suddenly to unprepared people. We resist the idea that breakthrough moments are usually the visible tip of an invisible iceberg built from years of focused work.</p><p>Fleming's contaminated Petri dish becomes a story about scientific serendipity. Netflix's pivot to streaming becomes a tale of perfect market timing. Airbnb's air mattress solution becomes folklore about scrappy entrepreneurs stumbling onto gold.</p><p>These stories comfort us because they suggest that extraordinary outcomes don't require extraordinary preparation. But strip away the mythology, and you see the same pattern everywhere: deep expertise recognizing significance in apparent failure.</p><p>The question isn't whether you'll encounter unexpected moments. You will. The question is whether you'll have spent enough time understanding real problems to recognize when something unexpected actually matters.</p><h2>The One Thing They All Had in Common</h2><p>Look past the lucky accident stories and you'll find something consistent across every case: domain expertise that ran deeper than their competition.</p><p>Fleming had studied bacteria for decades. Dyson understood airflow and filtration better than vacuum manufacturers. The Facebook founders knew programming and understood university social dynamics. Netflix executives had deep knowledge of entertainment distribution. The Airbnb guys understood both technology and hospitality pain points.</p><p>None of these breakthroughs happened to casual observers browsing for opportunities. They happened to people who had committed years to understanding specific domains better than almost anyone else. When the unexpected moment arrived, they possessed the knowledge to recognize what everyone else would dismiss or ignore.</p><p>The breakthrough wasn't the accident. The breakthrough was having the expertise to understand what the accident meant.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Are You Running from a Boss or from Responsibility?]]></title><description><![CDATA["You Don't Have a Boss" Is the Biggest Lie in Business]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/are-you-running-from-a-boss-or-from</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/are-you-running-from-a-boss-or-from</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 27 Jun 2025 15:46:59 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ch1Z!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7963558c-d0e7-4e9e-802b-7be89f49b52d_767x647.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was talking with my daughter about her future. She&#8217;s deciding what to study and what kind of work she might want. She told me she doesn&#8217;t want to run a business. &#8220;It&#8217;s hard,&#8221; she said, &#8220;but at least you don&#8217;t have a boss.&#8221;</p><p>That line stuck with me. A lot of people say the same thing. Most don&#8217;t understand what they&#8217;re saying.</p><p>They think business means freedom. No boss. Full control. What they usually mean is they don&#8217;t want someone telling them what to do. That&#8217;s not the same as having no boss.</p><p>If you avoid business because you don&#8217;t want responsibility, that&#8217;s a choice. But if you think business means freedom without structure, you&#8217;ll learn quickly how wrong that is.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ch1Z!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7963558c-d0e7-4e9e-802b-7be89f49b52d_767x647.png" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ch1Z!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7963558c-d0e7-4e9e-802b-7be89f49b52d_767x647.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ch1Z!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7963558c-d0e7-4e9e-802b-7be89f49b52d_767x647.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ch1Z!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7963558c-d0e7-4e9e-802b-7be89f49b52d_767x647.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ch1Z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7963558c-d0e7-4e9e-802b-7be89f49b52d_767x647.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ch1Z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7963558c-d0e7-4e9e-802b-7be89f49b52d_767x647.png" width="767" height="647" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7963558c-d0e7-4e9e-802b-7be89f49b52d_767x647.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:647,&quot;width&quot;:767,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1117552,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/166978010?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7963558c-d0e7-4e9e-802b-7be89f49b52d_767x647.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ch1Z!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7963558c-d0e7-4e9e-802b-7be89f49b52d_767x647.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ch1Z!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7963558c-d0e7-4e9e-802b-7be89f49b52d_767x647.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ch1Z!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7963558c-d0e7-4e9e-802b-7be89f49b52d_767x647.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!ch1Z!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7963558c-d0e7-4e9e-802b-7be89f49b52d_767x647.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h3>You Always Report to Someone</h3><p>In a job, your boss is a person. You follow instructions, even if they came from someone else. You show up. You deliver. Someone checks the work.</p><p>When you run a business, your boss is not a person. It&#8217;s the customer. The clock. The law. The numbers. The deadlines. The expectations. You are accountable to all of it. No one gives you a plan. You build it or fail.</p><p>There&#8217;s no one above you, but the pressure is higher. If you ignore it, you lose money, trust, momentum&#8212;or everything.</p><p>Running a business doesn&#8217;t remove the boss. It replaces one person with multiple forces that expect results.</p><h3>Let&#8217;s Talk About Risk</h3><p>Risk in business isn&#8217;t physical. It&#8217;s financial, psychological, and long-term.</p><p>There are jobs with real danger. Electricians. Firefighters. They risk their lives every day, but still get paid. If the job gets done, the money shows up.</p><p>Business doesn&#8217;t work that way. You can spend five years building something and walk away with nothing. No safety net. No guarantees. The risk isn&#8217;t in doing the work. It&#8217;s in being wrong about what you&#8217;re building.</p><p>Here&#8217;s what&#8217;s strange. Some people will jump off cliffs on skis, race downhill at 100 km/h, or climb frozen waterfalls. They&#8217;ll risk their lives for fun. But the idea of missing one paycheck throws them into panic.</p><p>Others are calm through a financial storm. They&#8217;ll risk their savings and time without blinking. Not because they enjoy losing, but because they believe they can recover. They measure risk in opportunity, not fear. But put them in an airplane with a parachute, and they freeze.</p><p>Most people fall somewhere in between.</p><h3><strong>The Three Risk Profiles</strong></h3><p>To me, it breaks down like this: </p><p>Knowing where you sit matters more than your title.</p><p><strong>1. The Adrenaline Seeker</strong><br>Physically brave. Financially cautious. This person handles danger in controlled bursts. They chase intensity but need income stability. They&#8217;re often excellent in high-pressure jobs but struggle with open-ended financial risk.<br><strong>Weakness in business:</strong> Panic when results are slow or unpredictable. Struggle to manage long-term uncertainty.</p><p><strong>2. The System Builder</strong><br>Financially resilient. Avoids physical risk. These are builders. They don&#8217;t care about looking brave. They care about progress. They believe failure is data.<br><strong>Strength in business:</strong> They can sustain long, hard stretches without reward. They keep building through uncertainty. Their fear is not losing. It&#8217;s not building at all.</p><p><strong>3. The Calculated Operator</strong><br>Balanced. This is the most sustainable profile. Not fearless. Just practical. They don&#8217;t leap. They test. They build a bridge, not jump a gap.<br><strong>Business style:</strong> Start small. Get feedback. Adjust. Their edge is survival. They avoid collapse by not betting everything on one shot.</p><p>None of these is better. But if you don&#8217;t know which one you are, business will expose it fast.</p><h3>Risk Is About Control, Not Fear</h3><p>Risk isn&#8217;t about danger. It&#8217;s about how much control you feel over the outcome.</p><p>If you&#8217;re employed as an electrician, you take physical risks&#8212;but the paycheck is dependable.</p><p>If you&#8217;re a contractor, you deal with cash flow and tax issues, but you still get paid for your time.</p><p>If you&#8217;re building a business, the ground can fall out. There is no guarantee of payment. You can spend years on the wrong thing and never recover what you invested.</p><p>This is what people miss. You&#8217;re not just doing your job. You&#8217;re building the structure others rely on. If it collapses, they move on. You absorb the damage.</p><h3>Freedom Is Earned, Not Given</h3><p>You can choose your schedule. But if you&#8217;re late, you lose clients.</p><p>You can charge what you want. But if no one buys, your pricing doesn&#8217;t matter.</p><p>You can hire who you like. But if they fail, it reflects on you.</p><p>You are not free from rules. You are responsible for building them and following through.</p><h3>Doing Business vs. Creating a Business</h3><p>Doing business means working for yourself. Freelancing. Selling something. You might have control over your time, but if you stop, income stops too.</p><p>Creating a business means building systems. Hiring people. Making the machine run without you. It&#8217;s harder and takes longer. But it scales.</p><p>People mix these up all the time. They want the income of a business but only the effort of a gig. Or they want simplicity but compare themselves to companies with teams and funding.</p><p>Know what you&#8217;re building. Adjust your expectations accordingly.</p><h3>Fear of Failure</h3><p>Fear is normal. But most people don&#8217;t fear failure. They fear slow failure.</p><p>Real business failure creeps in. Bad pricing. Missed signals. Weak product. It happens when you ignore feedback for too long.</p><p>People who fear failure but avoid analysis make small, safe moves until they run out of time.</p><p>The answer isn&#8217;t fearlessness. It&#8217;s figuring out which failures are survivable and learning from them before they multiply.</p><h3>If You Own It, You Run It</h3><p>Owning a business means owning every result. You can&#8217;t blame the system. You <em>are</em> the system.</p><p>You handle the customers, the product, the delivery, the reputation.</p><p>Some people aren&#8217;t built for that. And that&#8217;s fine.</p><p>But if the weight makes sense to you, you&#8217;re probably in the right place. It&#8217;s not pressure. It&#8217;s clarity.</p><h3>You Don&#8217;t Need to Be a Founder</h3><p>Some people are better employees. Others are contractors. Some are meant to build. These are different paths. Not better or worse. Just different.</p><p>I&#8217;ve done all three. No boss. Then a job. Then business. Then back to a job. Eventually, I understood that I needed to build&#8212;not to escape a boss, but because I couldn&#8217;t ignore the systems in my head or stop thinking like an owner.</p><p>I&#8217;ve seen employees turn into great founders. And I&#8217;ve seen founders go back to being employees. It&#8217;s not about identity. It&#8217;s about fit.</p><p>Let&#8217;s also stop blurring terms.</p><ul><li><p><strong>Employee:</strong> works inside someone else&#8217;s system</p></li><li><p><strong>Contractor:</strong> works on defined tasks with some control</p></li><li><p><strong>Business owner:</strong> builds and maintains the system, and takes the hit when it breaks</p></li></ul><p>Pick the one that matches your tolerance, skill, and motivation.</p><p>Business looks appealing on Instagram. But in real life, it&#8217;s spreadsheets, calls, logistics, decisions, and risk.</p><p>The reward comes later. After you&#8217;ve built something that works without your constant input.</p><h3>Decide for the Right Reason</h3><p>Whatever path you choose&#8212;employment, freelance, or building&#8212;make sure you understand what you&#8217;re choosing.</p><p>If you&#8217;re scared of failure, define what exactly you&#8217;re afraid of. Then ask whether that risk is real or just unfamiliar.</p><p>Don&#8217;t chase freedom unless you&#8217;re ready for responsibility. Because that&#8217;s what freedom really is.</p><p>You don&#8217;t escape the boss. You just choose who, or what, it is.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[Why Doing the Right Thing Looks Boring (Until It Doesn’t)]]></title><description><![CDATA[If it feels boring, it&#8217;s probably working.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/why-doing-the-right-thing-looks-boring</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/why-doing-the-right-thing-looks-boring</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 20 Jun 2025 17:22:16 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IkXf!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfb6b1d1-86ba-43dd-b392-6a839d7b8637_1494x1102.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If it feels boring, it&#8217;s probably working. If it feels exciting, it&#8217;s probably unstable.</p><h3>Most people give up too soon</h3><p>We say we want results, but what we actually chase is stimulation. That&#8217;s why people love fresh starts and dramatic plans. They feel like progress. But most real progress doesn&#8217;t feel like anything. It&#8217;s just you, doing the same thing again.</p><p>The hardest part of doing the right thing is believing it&#8217;s working when there&#8217;s no proof yet. No big wins. No applause. Just repetition. You stick to the habit, the system, the path. And without feedback, you start doubting all of it.</p><p>That&#8217;s when people quit. Not because the system failed. Because boredom kicked in before results showed up.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://publication.aslanyan.net" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IkXf!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfb6b1d1-86ba-43dd-b392-6a839d7b8637_1494x1102.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IkXf!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfb6b1d1-86ba-43dd-b392-6a839d7b8637_1494x1102.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IkXf!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfb6b1d1-86ba-43dd-b392-6a839d7b8637_1494x1102.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IkXf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfb6b1d1-86ba-43dd-b392-6a839d7b8637_1494x1102.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IkXf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfb6b1d1-86ba-43dd-b392-6a839d7b8637_1494x1102.jpeg" width="1456" height="1074" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/cfb6b1d1-86ba-43dd-b392-6a839d7b8637_1494x1102.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:1074,&quot;width&quot;:1456,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:233107,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/166413703?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfb6b1d1-86ba-43dd-b392-6a839d7b8637_1494x1102.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IkXf!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfb6b1d1-86ba-43dd-b392-6a839d7b8637_1494x1102.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IkXf!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfb6b1d1-86ba-43dd-b392-6a839d7b8637_1494x1102.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IkXf!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfb6b1d1-86ba-43dd-b392-6a839d7b8637_1494x1102.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!IkXf!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fcfb6b1d1-86ba-43dd-b392-6a839d7b8637_1494x1102.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h3>Your brain isn&#8217;t built for slow gains</h3><p>Dopamine doesn&#8217;t reward consistency. It rewards novelty and risk. This isn&#8217;t some theory. Studies show dopamine spikes <strong>before</strong> a reward, not after it. The anticipation is what creates the craving. Think about it. You&#8217;re more excited about the <em>idea</em> of a vacation than actually lying on the beach. The planning and countdown deliver more dopamine than the trip itself.</p><p>That&#8217;s what makes novelty addictive and long-term work feel dull.</p><p>It also explains why people scroll through transformation reels and watch motivational videos. The big change is packed into 12 seconds. It tricks your brain into thinking change should feel fast. Same with self-help content, new tools, new courses. Buying a gym membership or fitness app gives you a dopamine hit. It feels productive &#8212; for about a day.</p><p>Then reality sets in. Most fitness apps lose 70 to 80 percent of users in the first month. Gyms bank on this too. You've probably seen it firsthand. These aren&#8217;t lazy people. They&#8217;re normal people chasing stimulation instead of building systems.</p><h3>It&#8217;s not the big decisions. It&#8217;s the boring ones</h3><p>People love the myth that life changes in big moments. A bold quit. A viral post. A life-changing deal. But most outcomes are shaped by small, forgettable decisions that compound over time.</p><p>The email you send when nobody responds. The third meeting that leads to a key intro. The quiet product update. The time you kept going instead of starting over.</p><p>We only remember the big moment. But the big moment was built on hundreds of small ones that nobody saw.</p><p>And here&#8217;s the trap: waiting for a big signal is still a choice. Often the worst one.</p><h3>The unsexy inputs that actually work</h3><p>Let&#8217;s be specific.</p><ul><li><p>10 push-ups a day beats one gym marathon every few months.</p></li><li><p>One cold outreach email a day beats another week editing your pitch deck.</p></li><li><p>Cooking your own meals beats obsessing over new supplements.</p></li><li><p>Writing weekly beats waiting for inspiration.</p></li><li><p>Doing your job well every day beats being &#8220;passionate&#8221; once in a while.</p></li></ul><p>These don&#8217;t look impressive. But they work. What matters long-term usually feels underwhelming in the short-term.</p><h3>What if you&#8217;re not burnt out, just misaligned?</h3><p>People often say they&#8217;re burnt out. But if the work is meaningful and going somewhere, you don&#8217;t feel drained &#8212; even when it&#8217;s hard.</p><p>You&#8217;ve felt it. When you&#8217;re building something you care about, tired feels good. But when the work has no direction, even light effort feels exhausting.</p><p>You don&#8217;t need a vacation. You need a reason to care again.</p><h3>Why we blow up working systems</h3><p>Some people grow up in noise, so calm feels uncomfortable. When things finally become predictable, they start looking for problems. It&#8217;s not just psychological. It&#8217;s familiar.</p><p>This happens in business too. You build a process. It starts to work. Then you get bored and convince yourself it needs a tweak. You call it optimization, but really, you&#8217;re just chasing stimulation again.</p><p>When calm feels like failure, you&#8217;ll keep blowing up what works.</p><p><em>We&#8217;ve all heard this before. It sounds right every time. Then we scroll another reel, download another app, sign up for another thing, and tell ourselves this one&#8217;s different.</em></p><p>This post isn&#8217;t here to inspire you. It&#8217;s just a reminder. Of what we already know. Of what works. Of what we keep forgetting.</p><p>Boring is where the results live.</p>]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[The Myth of Clarity: Why You’re Waiting for the Wrong Signal]]></title><description><![CDATA[We&#8217;ve all been there.]]></description><link>https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/the-myth-of-clarity-why-youre-waiting</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://publication.aslanyan.net/p/the-myth-of-clarity-why-youre-waiting</guid><dc:creator><![CDATA[Stepan Aslanyan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Thu, 05 Jun 2025 20:40:13 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6tiv!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cece319-9cce-4fe6-a91c-8fc3104ba882_682x680.jpeg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We&#8217;ve all been there.</p><p>Waiting for that one thing to click &#8212; a clear sign, a perfect plan, a moment when everything lines up and says: &#8220;Now&#8217;s the time.&#8221;</p><p>Whether it&#8217;s starting a business, quitting a job, writing something meaningful, or making any big move, it&#8217;s easy to hit pause and tell ourselves we&#8217;re &#8220;not quite ready.&#8221;</p><p>We call it planning.<br>Research. Strategy.<br>But most of the time? It&#8217;s just fear dressed up as productivity.</p><p>Here&#8217;s the thing most people don&#8217;t realize or know but forget to practice:<br><strong>Clarity doesn&#8217;t show up first. It shows up after you start.</strong><br>That feeling you&#8217;re waiting for? It&#8217;s not coming. Not until you&#8217;re already moving.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://publication.aslanyan.net/" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6tiv!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cece319-9cce-4fe6-a91c-8fc3104ba882_682x680.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6tiv!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cece319-9cce-4fe6-a91c-8fc3104ba882_682x680.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6tiv!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cece319-9cce-4fe6-a91c-8fc3104ba882_682x680.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6tiv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cece319-9cce-4fe6-a91c-8fc3104ba882_682x680.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6tiv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cece319-9cce-4fe6-a91c-8fc3104ba882_682x680.jpeg" width="682" height="680" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/7cece319-9cce-4fe6-a91c-8fc3104ba882_682x680.jpeg&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:680,&quot;width&quot;:682,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:232890,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/jpeg&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://publication.aslanyan.net/i/165296469?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cece319-9cce-4fe6-a91c-8fc3104ba882_682x680.jpeg&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6tiv!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cece319-9cce-4fe6-a91c-8fc3104ba882_682x680.jpeg 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6tiv!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cece319-9cce-4fe6-a91c-8fc3104ba882_682x680.jpeg 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6tiv!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cece319-9cce-4fe6-a91c-8fc3104ba882_682x680.jpeg 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!6tiv!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F7cece319-9cce-4fe6-a91c-8fc3104ba882_682x680.jpeg 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><h3>The Illusion of a Perfect Plan</h3><p>We love the idea of being &#8220;smart&#8221; about our next step. That we&#8217;ll figure everything out in advance, map the path, avoid all mistakes.</p><p>But real life doesn&#8217;t work like that.</p><p>Founders spend months tweaking decks and logos instead of building something people can use. Creators spend more time rebranding than creating. People stay in jobs they hate because they&#8217;re &#8220;not 100% sure what&#8217;s next.&#8221;</p><p>We&#8217;ve confused being stuck with being strategic.</p><p>The truth is, most clarity comes <em><strong>after</strong></em> you get your hands dirty &#8212; not before.</p><h3>You Don&#8217;t Think Your Way to Clarity. You Work Your Way There.</h3><p>It&#8217;s like driving in fog. You don&#8217;t see the whole road &#8212; just the few meters ahead. But you keep going, and little by little, the rest shows up.</p><p>Want to test a product idea? Build something small and let real people use it.<br>Curious about a career shift? Try something new.<br>Want to write more? Just start typing. Anything. No pressure &#8212; it&#8217;s not like anyone&#8217;s going to read it anyway &#128578;</p><p>You can read all the articles, watch all videos, ask all the experts, do all the planning &#8212; but at some point, you just have to <em><strong>move</strong></em>.</p><h3>&#8220;When the Time Is Right&#8221; Almost Never Means Anything</h3><p>&#8220;I just need a little more data.&#8221;<br>&#8220;I&#8217;ll do it when the market feels ready.&#8221;<br>&#8220;I&#8217;ll wait for the right moment.&#8221;</p><p>That moment? It&#8217;s a myth. A moving target that disappears the closer you get.</p><p>Most of us aren&#8217;t waiting for signals &#8212; <strong>we&#8217;re waiting to stop being scared</strong>.<br>But fear doesn&#8217;t go away. It just gets quieter once you start doing the thing.</p><h3>Action Leads. Answers Follow.</h3><p>Want clarity?<br>Don&#8217;t think harder.<br>Don&#8217;t scroll more.<br>Don&#8217;t wait for someone else to say &#8220;go.&#8221;</p><p>Do something. Anything.<br>Ship the MVP &#8212; and no, it won&#8217;t be perfect. Today&#8217;s users are picky, and even your &#8220;minimum&#8221; needs to feel solid. But waiting until it&#8217;s flawless? You&#8217;ll be waiting forever.<br>Send the email.<br>Write the paragraph.<br>Make the offer.<br>You don&#8217;t need perfect &#8212; you need <em><strong>real</strong></em>.</p><p>You&#8217;ll know more the next day than you did today. And that&#8217;s how clarity works &#8212; in small, uneven pieces.</p><h3>The Takeaway</h3><p>Most people you admire didn&#8217;t start with clarity.<br>They started with curiosity, or urgency &#8212; or just being fed up.<br>They figured it out <em>by doing</em>, not by waiting for a perfect plan.</p><p>And yes, when you start walking, you&#8217;re going to hit some stones.<br>You&#8217;ll trip. You&#8217;ll get bruised.<br>Try not to smash your head on every rock &#8212; but trying to avoid <em>all</em> of them? That&#8217;s a fantasy.<br>The real skill isn&#8217;t in avoiding pain &#8212; it&#8217;s in learning how to heal and keep going.</p><p>So if you&#8217;re still waiting for a signal, ask yourself:<br>Are you really waiting for clarity &#8212; or just for permission?</p><p>Because here&#8217;s the truth: <strong>no one&#8217;s going to give it to you. But you can give it to yourself.</strong></p><p>Start small.<br>Move forward.<br>Adjust as you go.</p><p>The road only shows up when you walk it.<br>So walk.</p>]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>